4 reasons why every New York Mets fan should believe in this team again

Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets
Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets / Elsa/GettyImages
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4) Positive regression to the mean

Unless your favorite sport is Math Olympiad, regression to the mean is probably not something you would get excited about, but Mets fans should. Before the last few wins, it seemed that the Mets were having a Murphy's Law of a season. Everything that could go wrong, did. And yet entering Sunday, the team is only 5.5 games behind the Braves.

There are many Mets who are bound to improve as the season goes on, and I'm not talking about the young guys. I mean players that have underperformed the level that we know they're capable of. Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander are better pitchers than what they've shown. I can promise you that neither's ERA will remain close to 5.00.

Jeff McNeil won the batting title last year. He's going to get back over .300. Mark Canha and Starling Marte have nowhere to go but up. Even after his three-hit game on Friday, Francisco Lindor's numbers are still down from last year. That won't last.

Beyond individual players, there are big picture things that will regress the Mets' way. The team's debacle of an average with runners in scoring position has already started creeping up. Likewise, it's hard to envision a scenario where the Mets remain this completely inept at throwing runners out. I swear, every opposing baserunner has been safe by an inch.

The Mets are starting to make believers of us once again after toying with our emotions for a month and a half. Citi Field is rocking, and Mets magic is back. We saved you a seat. Won't you join us?

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