NY Mets prospect fails to immediately prove latest MLB Pipeline rankings wrong

Feb 13, 2025; Port St. Lucie, FL, USA; New York Mets pitcher Brandon Sproat (91) catches a line drive during live batting practice at Spring Training. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images
Feb 13, 2025; Port St. Lucie, FL, USA; New York Mets pitcher Brandon Sproat (91) catches a line drive during live batting practice at Spring Training. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images | Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

The latest update to MLB Pipeline's top 100 prospect rankings brought significant shifts, notably for one of the New York Mets' highly touted young players. Right-handed pitcher Brandon Sproat experienced the steepest decline among all prospects, plummeting from the 40th overall position to 68th. This harsh reassessment by MLB experts underscores concerns about Sproat's performance as he navigates the upper echelons of the minor leagues.

Sproat's journey with the Mets is an interesting one, having been drafted by the organization on two separate occasions. Scouts have long been enamored with his impressive repertoire, headlined by a fastball that can reach triple digits and a devastating changeup that proves particularly effective against left-handed hitters. However, translating this raw talent into consistent results at the Triple-A level has been a challenge. In his appearances this season, Sproat has struggled with efficiency, and his most recent outing following the release of the updated rankings did little to quell the growing doubts.

Rough outing further clouds Brandon Sproat's prospect status

In the same week that MLB Pipeline delivered its updated top 100 list, reflecting a significant drop in Sproat's ranking, the young right-hander took the mound in Triple-A and endured another difficult performance. Over 4.1 innings pitched, Sproat surrendered six runs, including three home runs, while allowing four hits and issuing three walks. He did manage to strike out four batters, but the damage done inflated his earned run average to almost 6.00.

Beyond the hits and home runs allowed, a recurring issue for Sproat has been his command and control on the mound, a deficiency that has been apparent in the majority of his outings since his promotion to Triple-A last season. Scouting reports have consistently pointed to Sproat's control as a potential obstacle hindering him from reaching his full potential as a starting pitcher in the major leagues.

This persistent trend of subpar performances is undoubtedly a source of worry within the Mets' farm system. This is particularly true given the organization's emphasis on pitching development through its innovative pitching lab. This initiative has yielded tangible success at the major league level in the past year and a half, fostering optimism about the team's ability to cultivate pitching talent. However, Sproat's struggles serve as a stark reminder of the Mets' historical difficulties in consistently producing reliable homegrown pitching.

Looking back, the Mets, once renowned for their stable of high-caliber pitching prospects, have faced challenges in developing elite arms in recent years. Pitchers like Mike Vasil and Blade Tidwell, while not possessing the same level of initial hype as Sproat, were once considered top pitching prospects within the organization.

Their subsequent regression in the minor leagues ultimately diminished their value and potential impact. There is a palpable fear among fans that Sproat may be treading a similar path, a development that would have significant implications for the Mets' long-term sustainability and their ability to build a consistent winner through their farm system.

Sproat's inability to deliver consistent, quality outings in Triple-A, especially on the heels of a significant demotion in prospect rankings, paints a concerning picture. While his raw talent remains undeniable, the repeated struggles with command and allowing significant damage raise legitimate questions about his trajectory and whether he can ultimately prove the latest assessments wrong and realize the high expectations once placed upon him within the Mets organization.