Max Scherzer has had a rollercoaster of a season so far. He was lit up in three of his first five starts, but has now allowed only two earned runs in his last 18 innings pitched.
Today, he and the New York Mets will take on Taijuan Walker and the Philadelphia Phillies with a chance to close out the series sweep. They've beat them by a combined score of 6-1 through the first two games.
Let's dive into the odds for today's series finale.
Phillies vs. Mets odds, run line, and total
Phillies vs. Mets prediction and pick
It's hard to trust Scherzer one way or the other at this point of the season. While his 3.54 ERA seems solid, his 4.64 FIP (Field Independent Pitching) and 1.131 WHIP doesn't instill quite as much confidence.
With that being said, I have no interest in backing the Phillies either with Taijuan Walker on the mound. His 5.57 ERA and 1.463 is a disgusting mark through his first 11 starts.
So, I think the move to make in this game is to take the OVER. Max Scherzer may still have some stuff left in his arm, but he's getting too much respect from oddsmakers. It's also worth noting that the Phillies' OPS increases from 7.29 to .740 when facing right-handed pitchers.
Let's sit back and root for runs in this matinee matchup.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.