Padres vs. Mets prediction and odds for Tuesday, April 11 (It's time for Mets offense to get hot)

Apr 10, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) hits an
Apr 10, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) hits an / Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
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The San Diego Padres eliminated the New York Mets from the playoffs last season, but the Mets are doing their best to enact their revenge.

New York got off to a good start with their revenge tour on Monday, shutting the Padres out by a final score of 5-0. Now, the two teams will face-off in Game 2 of their series tonight.

The Padres will send out Ryan Weathers for the start and he'll face-off against fellow lefty, David Peterson of the Mets.

Let's dive into the odds for the game and then I'll give you my best bet.

Padres vs. Mets odds, run line, and total

Padres vs. Mets prediction and pick

Both offenses have largely disappointed to start the 2023 campaign. They entered the season as two of the top betting favorites to win the National League, but their offenses have lived up to the hype.

Heading into Tuesday night's matchup, the two clubs rank 17th and 24th in both OPS and runs per game. So, how do we handle this information. Do we continue to fade their offenses and bet on the UNDER?

No. In fact, I'm going to do the opposite and bet on some positive regression. These two offenses are too talented to stay this cold for long and tonight could be the perfect opportunity for them to wake up.

Weathers gets the start for the Padres tonight, and while he had a solid first start of the season, I don't have faith he can keep those numbers up. He had a 5.32 ERA in 2021, the last time he got significant time in the Majors, and had a less than impressive 4.91 ERA in Spring Training this year.

With that being said, I also don't trust David Peterson as the back end of the Mets rotation has been suffering due to the injuries to Justin Verlander and Jose Quintana to start the year.

Peterson has given up six earned runs in just 9.0 innings pitched in his first two starts. He's in for a tough challenge tonight against a strong Padres lineup.

Let's sit back and root for runs in this National League showdown.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.