1 Mets prospect that will be a star, 1 that won't, and 1 that will just be serviceable

Will be serviceable: Mike Vasil

Drafted in the 5th round of 2021, starting pitcher Mike Vasil has burst onto the scene for the Mets in 2023. Considered as just an adequate arm out of the University of Virginia, Vasil has appeared to reach a higher ceiling this past season posting a 4.65 ERA between AA and AAA. His performance at AA was so impressive, he represented the Mets at the Futures Game this past July. Though this ERA is not sparkling, his performance on the field has shown more upside.

Vasil earned a promotion to AAA after pitching to a 3.71 ERA in 10 starts for AA Binghamton. Vasil struggled mightily upon his promotion, but settled many in the organization in August when he took a no-hitter into the ninth inning. From that point forward, Vasil continued a solid performance through August thanks to his great command, only walking 46 batters in 124 innings in 2023.

Vasil reminds me much of a Carlos Carrasco type from 2022, someone who can throw 150+ innings with a high 3 to low 4 ERA at the major league level. His velocity is comparable to Carrasco, only averaging around 93 MPH on his fastball and a heavy reliance on his breaking pitches. The Mets could really use a reliable 5th starter in 2024 who can keep the team in most games and give a quality 6 innings a night to save the bullpen. The Mets had this in the past with Bartolo Colon in 2014-16 and Jason Vargas in 2019. If Vasil could be a Bartolo-type pitcher, he can be more than just serviceable in 2024.