1 NY Mets prospect that will be a star, 1 that won't, and 1 that will be serviceable

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The New York Mets have built up the upper echelon part of their farm system in 2023. Some came from trade acquisitions at the deadline such as Drew Gilbert and Luisangel Acuna, and some had breakout seasons such as Christian Scott and Blade Tidwell. Though the Mets' outlook for 2024 is a mixed bag at best, the farm system gives fans a reason to believe in the years to come.

Prospects have long been considered a "lottery ticket", meaning there is no guaranteed production for an organization's investment. In viewing prospects in this manner, the Mets have traded most of their top prospects away for veteran talent across the cavalcade of regimes since Sandy Alderson stepped down as general manager in 2018. Steve Cohen has committed large investments in the farm system since buying the team in 2021, and the prospect rankings are finally starting to show a return on his investment. With the minor leagues now built up, which prospect will be the next star to wear the orange and blue?

Will be a star: Drew Gilbert

Drafted by the Houston Astros in the first round of 2022, outfielder Drew Gilbert has already drawn star accolades for his performance at the University of Tennessee. Known as the "bat flip king" of college baseball, Gilbert belted 18 home runs with a .289 batting average and .381 OBP between Single A and AA in 2023.

Acquired at the trade deadline for Justin Verlander this past July, Gilbert was highly sought after by the Mets for his animated efforts on the field. The outfielder has drawn comparisons to Lenny Dykstra for his all-out 'down and dirty' efforts on the field each and every game. He is someone who hustles out every play and isn't afraid to ruffle some feathers in the opposing team's dugout.

Gilbert's determination and tough demeanor is the attitude of a star in the making for a New York professional sports franchise. He is a blue-collar worker with the numbers to back up his brilliant efforts. Gilbert has been evaluated by scouts as an above-average outfielder in all three spots with tremendous arm strength. He has enough speed to steal 15-20 bases a year and much power for a 5'9'' individual. If Gilbert continues to develop, he will become the next beloved Met in 2024.

Won't be a star: Ronny Mauricio

Signed as a 16-year-old prospect out of the Dominican Republic, Ronny Mauricio has burst onto the scene as a top prospect for the Mets. Mauricio has always had speed and had many extra-base hits as an amateur player for the Mets prior to the minor league cancelled season in 2020. Since then, Mauricio has developed home run potential, belting 26 in 2022 and 25 between the majors and minors in 2023.

While the offensive potential is without question, Maurico's defense is suspect at best. He has played almost every inning of his minor league career at shortstop, with the one exception being at second base this past season. His 25 errors at shortstop in 2022 and 7 errors in just 27 games in 2023 are alarming to evaluators in the organization. Mauricio played third base in the Dominican Winter League in 2022 and saw limited action there in 2023 as this route may be his best path towards an everyday role.

Mauricio will not be a star for the Mets given his lack of defensive potential and drastically low OBP throughout his minor league career. Though Mauricio hit many home runs in 2023, hie only drew 35 walks in 532 plate appearances. In 5 minor league seasons, Mauricio's OBP has been a meek .311. The struggles in the field and lack of plate discipline can draw the best comparison to Amed Rosario, who has become a solid role player but not a star with Cleveland or Los Angeles. For Mauricio to reach a higher ceiling, his maturity at the plate needs to grow in 2024.

Will be serviceable: Mike Vasil

Drafted in the 5th round of 2021, starting pitcher Mike Vasil has burst onto the scene for the Mets in 2023. Considered as just an adequate arm out of the University of Virginia, Vasil has appeared to reach a higher ceiling this past season posting a 4.65 ERA between AA and AAA. His performance at AA was so impressive, he represented the Mets at the Futures Game this past July. Though this ERA is not sparkling, his performance on the field has shown more upside.

Vasil earned a promotion to AAA after pitching to a 3.71 ERA in 10 starts for AA Binghamton. Vasil struggled mightily upon his promotion, but settled many in the organization in August when he took a no-hitter into the ninth inning. From that point forward, Vasil continued a solid performance through August thanks to his great command, only walking 46 batters in 124 innings in 2023.

Vasil reminds me much of a Carlos Carrasco type from 2022, someone who can throw 150+ innings with a high 3 to low 4 ERA at the major league level. His velocity is comparable to Carrasco, only averaging around 93 MPH on his fastball and a heavy reliance on his breaking pitches. The Mets could really use a reliable 5th starter in 2024 who can keep the team in most games and give a quality 6 innings a night to save the bullpen. The Mets had this in the past with Bartolo Colon in 2014-16 and Jason Vargas in 2019. If Vasil could be a Bartolo-type pitcher, he can be more than just serviceable in 2024.

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Home / New York Mets prospects

1 Mets prospect that will be a star, 1 that won't, and 1 that will just be serviceable

Will be a star: Drew Gilbert

Won't be a star: Ronny Mauricio

Will be serviceable: Mike Vasil

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