3) NY Mets player who will shatter expectations: Carlos Carrasco
Carrasco had a very strong 2022 season, going 15-7 with a 3.97 ERA in 152 innings. He also struck out 152 batters. Carrasco threw over 100 innings in 2022 for the first time since 2018. The right-hander had a great first five months, but ran out of gas toward the end of the season.
Carrasco was projected to be the Mets' number five pitcher this season, but with the injury to Jose Quintana, will move up to number four.
Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, and Kodai Senga headline the Mets rotation, which makes many forget about Carrasco. Carrasco is a veteran MLB starting pitcher, who still has above-average stuff.
According to Baseball Savant, Carrasco ranked in the 94th percentile in chase rate, 75th in curve spin, 74th in limiting walks, and 65th in whiff rate.
Pitching after the big three will also take a ton of pressure off Carrasco's shoulders. After facing Verlander, Scherzer, and Senga, teams will be desperately searching for a victory, but Carrasco won't allow that. Carrasco had 15 wins in 2022, tied for the Mets among the Mets pitching staff.
Carrasco had a career resurgence in 2022, and he will build upon that in 2023.