3 offseason moves that will make the Mets early National League favorites
The New York Mets have their work cut out for them this week at the Winter Meetings in San Diego in the wake of seeing Jacob deGrom sign with the Texas Rangers. However, there are three things the Mets can do to be one of the favorites in the National League going into the 2023.
The Mets signing Justin Verlander can help replace the void Jacob deGrom left behind.
Justin Verlander will be 40 years old next year. I don't care. He was the best pitcher in baseball last season, headlining one of the greatest pitching staffs in recent memory with the Houston Astros last season.
Two future Hall-of-Famers in the same rotation is dreamy, and fans saw a glimpse of that with Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom in August. What fans don’t seem to remember was that there were scenarios that had Verlander as the target for the Mets instead of Max Scherzer. The two were great together in Detroit for five seasons before Scherzer left for the Nationals, and could even drive together to the Mets' spring training complex in Port St. Lucie, Fla.
The Mets’ expectations last year were sky high because of the elite starting pitching they possessed, and when they failed in October, the season ended a lot earlier than planned. When deGrom was healthy, he was the premier starting pitcher in baseball, but he wasn’t, and is now with Texas. The best possible replacement for New York is Verlander because he is built for New York.
If Tylor Megill, David Peterson, and Elieser Hernandez are their third, fourth, and fifth starters in the rotation on Opening Day, this is not a World Series team. Having Verlander in there, pushing Carlos Carrasco to the No. 3 starter, makes such high expectations a lot more reasonable for the Mets.
Verlander is one of the ultimate competitors in baseball and is unfazed by the moment, and that's what Mets fans want and should expect from Verlander if he comes to the Mets.
The Mets re-signing Brandon Nimmo helps the Mets lineup hold serve from 2022.
The mistake the Chicago Cubs made following their 2016 World Series triumph was letting their leadoff hitter, Dexter Fowler, walk in free agency. Fowler might not have worked out in St. Louis for the Cardinals, but Fowler left behind a huge hole on their roster, both in their lineup as a reliable table-setter atop the lineup, and as an above average center fielder.
The Cubs didn’t have that leadoff hitter that could make the offense gel and grind in the playoffs like they did when they ended their 108-year World Series drought as a result and the Cubs were the dynasty that never was.
The Mets cannot make that same mistake for 2023. Brandon Nimmo is one of the best leadoff hitters in all of baseball, and his ability to get on base and set the table is not common in the sport. It was apparent after watching last year that Starling Marte is the perfect No. 2 hitter and Jeff McNeil is the guy to protect Pete Alonso in the Mets lineup.
Marte had arguably his best season ever and McNeil won the batting title. Both Marte and McNeil appeared on National League MVP ballots in 2022 for a reason, and without Nimmo, the Mets lineup becomes less dangerous.
Oh, and did we forget the improvements Nimmo made to his center field defense in 2021 and 2022? He finished in the 89th and 90th percentiles in the last two years, respectively in outs above average. That was such a big challenge for him prior to 2021, and with the two years of success defensively, it makes it clear that Nimmo is a difference maker.
The Mets bringing aboard multiple veteran relievers helps ease the early tension that concerns their bullpen depth.
If you were on the Fangraphs.com RosterResource website on the night of December 4, you saw the Mets’ projected bullpen as Edwin Diaz, Drew Smith, Bryce Montes de Oca, Jeff Brigham, Stephen Nogosek, John Curtiss, Tayler Saucedo, and Yoan Lopez. That is not good enough of a bullpen to get you far.
But the beauty of the free agent market is while it is thin on key offensive players and starting pitching, the relief market is traditionally deep because of all the movement on a year-to-year basis, and there are plenty of good ones, including 2022 Mets in Seth Lugo, Adam Ottavino, and Mychal Givens, and a lefty I begged the Mets to get from the Tigers at the trade deadline in August in Andrew Chafin. Chafin declined his 2023 team option with Detroit last month.
Other veteran relievers that could help New York are Taylor Rogers, Craig Kimbrel, David Robertson, and Matt Moore. The Mets need to sign at least two of these above names to shore up the seventh and eighth innings of games.
The bullpen was good, but not elite, and given salary commitments to other players, it will take the bullpen to be good again to get the Mets in the World Series conversation again.