3 mistakes the Mets cannot afford to make this offseason
Despite an early playoff exit, the New York Mets took a big step forward in 2022 thanks in large part to a successful offseason. Now comes the task of getting to the next level.
While the front office certainly hit on a lot of the moves that led to 101 regular season wins last year, it will take quite a bit to exceed that level of success in 2023. Many key contributors are now free agents, and that’s before even addressing the deficiencies that contributed to a mediocre September and abrupt downfall in October.
The Mets need to get a lot of things right this winter. And while not everything will work out, there are a few key mistakes they absolutely must avoid.
1) NY Mets mistake: Not extending Pete Alonso
Entering the offseason, most of the questions facing the Mets revolve around players they may or may not retain. The most critical question, however, lies with someone who will be back next season.
It is imperative for the Mets to approach Pete Alonso about a contract extension now. Yes, there are enough holes to fill around him, but that hasn’t stopped rival teams from locking up core players long-term. The Atlanta Braves have done it relentlessly in recent years. The Philadelphia Phillies still have Bryce Harper for nearly another decade.
But with two seasons left before he hits free agency, Alonso’s importance to the Mets and being a part of the team long-term runs much deeper than just on field success. Extending him would be a major step towards recalibrating the image of a franchise that has too often failed to retain its homegrown players.
Frankly, aside from David Wright, the Mets have never really held onto a star of their own for the duration of his career. Tom Seaver was infamously traded. Darryl Strawberry and Dwight Gooden found second chances across town. Even now, the narrative surrounding Jacob deGrom’s free agency evokes an all-too-often feeling of unease for fans of a certain age.
Alonso has quickly proven he can not only handle the bright lights of New York – he can thrive here. He is, in many ways, the identity of the team. Steve Cohen and Billy Eppler must now do what past ownership and front office leads failed to: secure a foundational piece of the franchise for years to come.
2) NY Mets mistake: Not adding an everyday Designated Hitter
With the designated hitter now a permanent part of National League baseball, the Mets need a more permanent solution for it.
Last season began with Dom Smith and J.D. Davis getting the first crack at seizing the DH spot as a lefty-righty platoon. Both failed to make an impact – both had injuries, Smith was demoted to the minor leagues, and Davis was dealt to San Francisco at the trade deadline. Combined, the pair hit .243 with just four home runs in 193 at-bats as the starting DH.
The Mets sought to address the failed platoon mid-season with – another platoon. Daniel Vogelbach came over from Pittsburgh as a left-handed power bat, while Darin Ruf was the return in the Davis trade with strong numbers against southpaws. And while Vogelbach posted an .830 OPS overall with the Mets despite fading down the stretch, Ruf was a disaster, with just three hits in 12 games as a starting DH.
This time, the Mets must avoid a patchwork solution and invest in a full-time option. Vogelbach will return next season after his $1.5 million option was picked up, but at such a relatively low cost, could serve just as well as a pinch-hitting specialist. On the free agent market, J.D. Martinez seems to be the best power DH available, although a 70-point decrease in his slugging percentage last year might be a red flag as he enters his age-35 season.
Regardless of where they go for help, anything less than adding a proven DH to the lineup next year would be a failure for the Mets.
3) NY Mets mistake: Not adding a high-leverage left-handed reliever
The Mets made an immediate splash this offseason by securing Edwin Diaz as their closer for the foreseeable future. Just as important, however, is how the Mets plan to bridge the gap to Diaz in the ninth inning, particularly from the left side.
A frequent criticism of the Mets approach last year was how the team failed to add a proven left-handed pitcher to the bullpen. It was a noticeable issue entering the season after Aaron Loup was not retained following a historically dominant 2021 campaign. It became an even more glaring hole after Billy Eppler failed to trade for a lefty at the deadline in August.
While the bullpen will be a major focus area for the Mets holistically, adding a lefty who can succeed in high leverage situations is critical, especially with a prevalence of left-handed power bats in the division. Matt Olson hit seven home runs against the Mets in his first season with the Braves. The Phillies will still have perennial Mets-killer Kyle Schwarber to go along with Harper at the top of their lineup.
Amidst several different experiments, Joely Rodriguez was ultimately the only left-handed reliever to stick around with the Mets for all of 2022. And despite a few flashes of brilliance, he pitched to a 4.47 ERA in 55 appearances, most of which were in lower-leverage situations. With quality options expected to be available on the market this winter, that cannot happen again in 2023.