2 Mets offseason decisions that will pay off, 1 that will backfire
We know the New York Mets probably won’t win 101 games again. This doesn’t mean they can’t be a better team even if the record says differently. Championship rosters are built over 365 days. The offseason is a time to make some of the biggest changes all at once.
Fans are mostly happy with what the team has done this winter, as they should be. The Mets look good. At least two of their offseason decisions look like they will have a payoff. Unfortunately, it’s easy to see how another will backfire.
NY Mets offseason decision that will payoff: Loading up on starting pitcher depth
Rather than turn to Tylor Megill or David Peterson for one of the starting rotation spots, the Mets went out and replaced all three of their key pitching free agents. Justin Verlander replaces Jacob deGrom. In whatever way you want to match them up, Jose Quintana and Kodai Senga replace Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker.
There is a case to say the Mets rotation isn’t quite as good as it would have been at the start of last season with a healthy deGrom. Senga has some questions about durability. Quintana, before last year, had been sputtering in the major leagues. Eventually, Verlander is going to slow down.
Nevertheless, we should give props to the Mets front office for not settling for less. The ability to stash Megill and Peterson in the bullpen or minor leagues is valuable for a 162-game season. It takes more than five starters to get through a year. The Mets should be fine in this department.
It all began by picking up on the option on Carlos Carrasco. Yet another Mets pitcher whose performance in 2023 can vary greatly, at least the team has options.
NY Mets offseason decision that will payoff: Buying low on Omar Narvaez
The most surprising addition of the offseason by the Mets was the signing of free agent catcher Omar Narvaez. If you predicted this and you haven’t already won the lottery, your superpowers have gone to waste.
It seemed like the Mets would indeed look to trade James McCann this offseason, which they successfully did. Shout out to the Baltimore Orioles for a little help. What nobody suspected was the team would bring in another veteran backstop. Paired alongside Tomas Nido, the Mets have a pretty good righty/lefty setup at the plate when these two catchers grab a bat.
This does mean Francisco Alvarez gets pushed onto the backburner for at least a little while longer. It’s not such a horrible decision. Alvarez could use more seasoning behind the plate in Triple-A plus a few at-bats. One thing the Mets have been incredibly consistent at is not rushing top prospects to the show. They appear ready to do the same with Alvarez, opting to carry two more defense-focused catchers instead of one expected to become primarily known for his offense.
The decision can pay off in a lot of ways. Alvarez can become a better defender. The Mets can get early offense from Narvaez. We should still expect Alvarez to become an option for the Mets later in the year. He’s an ideal candidate to fix one offseason decision that looks like it will backfire most.
NY Mets offseason decision that will backfire: Not making a drastic change at the DH spot
The Mets seem stuck in 2021 when it comes to the DH. They’re planning the position like a National League team when we all play by American League rules. This doesn’t mean they need to equip themselves with Nelson Cruz or J.D. Martinez although both were available this past offseason and never really seemed to become a realistic target of the team.
The Mets will, instead, move forward with Daniel Vogelbach as the DH. He’ll only start against right-handed pitchers which is a faux pas. When a player is a DH only, he needs to be able to hit against pitchers throwing with both hands, not one.
It’s nothing personal against Vogelbach, but to continue with such a limited player on the roster when there was a whole offseason to make a major change feels like a mistake. The Mets will try to pair some of their right-handed starters and Tommy Pham with him at the DH spot. The trouble here is Pham will need to go from playing every day to only starting versus lefties. Not every player can make the transition easily.
Although many teams don’t employ a single player to take on the majority of at-bats as the DH, the Mets could have used the Pham and Vogelbach roster spots more wisely. A single major upgrade in the outfield or third base would have been wise. Instead, the search for production continues. The team will be easy to plan against. We can only hope Vogelbach manages to finally figure out lefties in the minimal number of at-bats he’ll get against them.
We should already prepare for the Mets to spend assets at the trade deadline looking for some alternative options.