Mets Monday Morning GM: 3 free agent pitchers for the price of 1 Justin Verlander or less
We all wanted Justin Verlander on the New York Mets roster. As soon as Jacob deGrom had his deal with the Texas Rangers, it was the only move for the Mets to make.
It hasn’t gone so well. Verlander is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA through 9 starts with the Mets this season. Disappointment doesn’t even do it justice too how poorly it has gone for him and the team as a whole. That’s a word reserved for ordering a 20 piece nugget and only finding 19 and a half.
With the full benefit of hindsight, what could the Mets have done differently? The $43.3 million Verlander is earning this year is ridiculously high and could have been spread out among at least three other pitchers to help improve the Mets, right?
1) NY Mets could have signed Chris Bassitt for half the Justin Verlander price
Rather than find the best bargain free agent starting pitcher signing, let’s stick with something realistic. Chris Bassitt was with the Mets last season. It makes sense for him to have returned on a similar deal to the one he eventually signed with the Toronto Blue Jays. They were willing to go three-years and give him $63 million. This comes out to a $21 million AAV which is significantly less than the $43.3 million Verlander is taking home in 2023.
Bassitt has gotten hammered in several starts this season, but he has also had more brilliant outings than Verlander thus far with the Mets.
Maybe it was the bad final impression Bassitt left with a loss in the postseason which gave him some added desire to move on. The front office may have felt the same way. Bassitt wasn’t so much replaced by Verlander as much as he was by Kodai Senga and Jose Quintana. Both of them were cheaper signings, partly due to the Mets’ choice to bring in JV.
Let’s say the Mets re-signed Bassitt to the same deal he got from the Blue Jays. That gives us $22.3 million left to spend. Let’s throw it at some bullpen arms.
2) NY Mets could should have signed Andrew Chafin with no questions asked
It feels like a rerun with Andrew Chafin and the Mets. They should’ve been all over acquiring him at last year’s trade deadline. They should’ve signed him in the offseason when he opted out of his deal with the Detroit Tigers. For some inexplicable reason, the Mets decided their bullpen was good enough as is.
Chafin ended up with a rather modest $5.5 million deal for 2023 with a team option for $7.25 million next season. However you want to tally it, this would’ve been a solid investment for the funds they ended up paying Verlander instead.
Chafin has been awesome out of the Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen even getting regular opportunities to close games. Was the chance to be a closer too tempting for him to turn down any offer the Mets could’ve made? Two years of guaranteed $7.25 million might have been enough for Chafin to take on any role out of the Mets bullpen.
If Chafin accepts the $7.25 million AAV for two years, we still have $15.05 million left to reach Verlander’s contract. Even if Bassitt would’ve cost a little more to keep in New York, there is financial room to navigate.
At least for this scenario, the Mets have decided to add Quintana and Senga as well and instead focus on bullpen spending. Let’s find one more arm to sign.
3) NY Mets should have at least explored the idea of signing Chris Martin
Chris Martin wasn’t a particularly awesome free agent reliever anyone was crossing their fingers for the Mets to sign. He has had some good years. He has had some much leaner ones. Last season he was just okay with the Chicago Cubs until after a trade deadline deal sent him to the Los Angeles Dodgers. He turned that late success in Los Angeles into a guaranteed two-year deal with the Boston Red Sox where he has been pretty awesome this year.
The $8.75 million AAV might have been a bit of a surprise for many, but for a Mets club looking to win it all this season, he should have been a consideration. It’s much more hindsight with Martin than it would be with Bassitt or Chafin. But the message stands. Spreading the wealth out would have benefited the Mets far more, at least at this early stage of the season.
There are any number of combinations we can find in free agency to point at and claim the Verlander contract was doomed to fail if the results were anything less than his absolute best. Even trades where they took on a contract could have yielded better results.
The Martin signing, for equal value of what the Red Sox paid him, leaves us with $6.3 million left. Maybe it costs slightly more to get him to New York. In any case, the Mets may have learned a lesson here.
The clichéd phrase of “not putting everything into one basket” has hurt the Mets this year with certain areas of the roster getting overlooked. The bullpen, in particular, didn’t have nearly enough talent in it from the start. Any kind of Daniel Vogelbach resurgence will fail to convince many he was the right fit for the DH role.
How will this affect the Mets going forward when it comes to spending? Short record-breaking deals haven’t been successful so far. Steve Cohen’s wallet will remain open but maybe instead of handing out a one-hundred dollar bill he comes with a stack of twenties to spread it around.