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3 thoughts on a Juan Soto dream trade
The Washington Nationals are listening to offers for Juan Soto. He reportedly rejected $440 million from them which has the organization ready to trade him away. Naturally, New York Mets fans are hoping something can get done.
Dreams of the Steve Cohen-led Mets eventually signing Soto in free agency remain but with a trade also comes the risk of an extension. Teams would be foolish to pay the ransom for Soto if they can’t afford to keep him around. The Mets aren’t one of those clubs.
We can all put together our greatest trade package of players in a deal starting with Francisco Alvarez and going down as far as needed. But it’s much bigger than that. Trading for Soto is a once-in-a-generation type of move for both organizations that takes a lot of thought—or at least three.
1) The Mets can relieve the Nationals of a lot of financial strain in a Juan Soto trade
The deal would never become Juan Soto and a couple of bad contracts for Khalil Lee and a low-level prospect. Even with the Mets taking on contracts belonging to guys like Patrick Corbin and Stephen Strasburg, it would still require some really good players headed to Washington. Otherwise, what are the Nationals even doing? They mine as well pack up and go back to Montreal and call themselves the Expos.
The Mets, more than most teams, can offer the Nationals some immediate financial relief. Specifically, it’s Patrick Corbin and Stephan Strasburg they’d probably like to move on from.
The Nationals would have more of an attachment to Strasburg because of his history with the club but that shouldn’t prevent them from shopping him. After all, they’re already trading Soto in this deal. Why hold onto Strasburg and the $35 million owed to him over the next few seasons and all of the deferred cash?
If getting out from under some financial commitment is a goal of Washington’s in a trade involving Soto, the Mets are among the leaders capable and maybe even willing to pay this price.
2) The Mets take on a risk they might not be able to by themselves out of
Let’s say the Mets and Nationals do strike a deal. Whatever it is, whichever top Mets prospects are sent to Washington, it’s going to deplete the farm system greatly.
There’s no more Francisco Alvarez hype. Brett Baty visits Citi Field a couple times a season in the road greys. Meanwhile, the Mets have Soto patrolling right field for a decade or more while eating up a huge part of the payroll.
Money doesn’t scare Mets fans anymore. They know that with Cohen in charge the vault is open. Unfortunately, you can’t always buy a championship. The way the Mets have been building, the focus has been on being good now and having some backup plans for the future.
Trading for Soto now kind of feels like losing track of the mission. It’s similar to tanking for a few seasons in the NBA then suddenly deciding to trade away all of the draft picks you’ve acquired for a single star. This might help in some sports—as unlikely as it often does lead to a championship. Baseball is a little different. Soto would only bat once every nine batters. He won’t pitch. He won’t be able to field every baseball.
There is a huge risk in making any trade like this. More so, striking the deal with a division rival comes with an even greater slap in the face if you lose the trade.
3) The Mets should stay the course they’re currently on
An admitted wimp who doesn’t like taking major risks or investing in cryptocurrency, I’d prefer the Mets to stay on the course they’re on. Buying free agents to fill holes seemed to work this past offseason. Keeping the notable prospects they have coming up will help aid them going forward.
As splashy as trading for Juan Soto would be, it erases a lot of what the team successfully did in the offseason. Why not, instead, use all of those assets to acquire multiple players rather than just one? It’s an argument of quantity over quality. On a 26-man roster, it might be the better direction to lead the team.
All odds are already stacked against the Mets acquiring Soto. Being a team within the Nationals’ division doesn’t help them whatsoever. With other farm systems out there rated higher, we can assume there are more desirable trade packages available for what the Nationals would want. The Mets, for as much as we praise their minor league system, are a bit short on quality pitchers. While certainly not a deal-breaker, it could be a factor for an organization that has had an awful pitching staff this season.
Speculation with Soto will continue as long as he remains in Washington and doesn’t have a lengthy contract. The Mets will have a chance at him in free agency if he is ever allowed to get there. If he isn’t, it’s nothing to fret about. The Mets will just pivot and get the next best player available or all of the best fitting ones.
Next. 3 best All-Stars the Mets should trade for. dark