3 thoughts ahead of the Mets-Braves doubleheader finale

So much can change today for the New York Mets. An epic doubleheader to end the year is exactly what Major League Baseball dreamed of except there are a lot of different nuisances to go with these games.

Playoff baseball involves a different kind of strategic thinking. It sure feels like the Mets and Atlanta Braves are already there. 

Where’s your head at? What about mine? Heading into this conclusion to the regular season, let’s share some thoughts on what’ll happen, what it means, and how MLB created a situation where someone is going to feel jipped.

1) How sure of a thing is a split between the Mets and Braves?

A lot of fans spent Sunday night debating the merits of starting Tylor Megill or Luis Severino in the first game of the doubleheader. It seems like both teams will save their superior pitchers, Severino and Chris Sale, for a possible second game. The thinking makes sense on the basis that you want to win the first game and have a good pitcher available for Tuesday to start the opener of the Wild Card round. At the same time, you still have to win a game and a split is no sure thing.

Many believe whoever wins the first game will put out an inferior lineup for the second. It’ll happen. This is the game where Eddy Alvarez will bat leadoff if the Mets win the first. We’ll see whichever pitcher the Mets don’t intend to carry on the postseason roster toss as many innings as possible. Strangely, starting Megill in the second game seems to make most sense if for no other reason than you might want him to simply eat up innings for you. Is he going to join the Mets on their playoff roster? It wouldn’t be a lousy choice but if he pitches on Monday he wouldn’t pitch at all in the Wild Card round.

Splitting the doubleheader seems inevitable but no lock. There is incentive to win both. Sweeping the Braves means the Mets can knock them out of the playoffs and change their flight from Milwaukee to San Diego. We saw how well the Brewers can beat up on the Mets plenty this year. They’ll run amuck on the bases.

And still, getting the better matchup could mean burning through more of your better pitchers thus setting up for trouble over the next three days.