Ranking the 3 realistic starting rotation replacements for Tylor Megill
Who should the Mets turn to in the absence of Tylor Megill?
Tylor Megill was placed on the 15-day IL after his season debut and the New York Mets have replaced him on the roster with reliever Reed Garrett. Expected to be a short stint for Garrett in the majors until the Mets need another starter, they’ll have the option of turning to their current minor league depth or possibly even reaching outward from the organization for help.
Who should be the one to make the start on Saturday when Megill would have? Let’s rank the options who all, conveniently, have a first name beginning with the letter J.
3) Joey Lucchesi
Joey Lucchesi has made one start for the Syracuse Mets this year which doesn’t tell us much about what he’ll be able to accomplish in 2024. Knocked around in one spring start, Lucchesi is one of the bigger remaining mysteries within the organization.
In 9 starts for the 2023 Mets, Lucchesi had an excellent 2.89 ERA but only a so-so 4.22 FIP largely as a result of a strikeout ratio of only 6.2 per 9. His 1.30 WHIP didn’t help his case much either. The run prevention was superb yet maybe a little unrealistic.
Lucchesi was good in his Triple-A debut, lasting 5 innings and only giving up one unearned run. An underwhelming 4.42 ERA in the minors last year in 89.2 innings of work, he’s a strong consideration but third on this list of options.
Fortunately for him, even if he doesn’t end up as the first choice of the Mets, the team is bound to pick at least two players to make a start in the next two weeks with 13 straight games beginning on Friday. Will he be one of the choices? This teammate of his is a better option.
2) Jose Butto
Ride the hot arm. Jose Butto was better than Lucchesi in the 2023 regular season for the Mets. He was hot this spring, too. His 3.64 ERA in 42 innings spent mostly as a starter for last year’s team is inferior to what Lucchesi did but other metrics measure him more strongly such as a 4.02 FIP.
Butto gave up 2 earned runs and another unearned run in his debut for Syracuse. With just 2 strikeouts and twice as many walks, it wasn’t the promising start to the regular season.
The 0.90 ERA he had in spring training with the Mets in 10 innings of work still lingers, though. Perhaps it’s the burnout of seeing Lucchesi be no better than average and some promise of Butto being much better which has them ranked in this order. As much of a non-standout as Butto has been over the years with the Mets in the minors, he has consistently posted ERAs below 4.00 in every minor league season except last year. In 19 Triple-A starts, Butto was 3-7 with a 5.93 ERA.
The choice between Butto and Lucchesi might ultimately come down to the matchup and roster moves. In fact, whoever gets the call first might be the one to get only a single start as opposed to the other staying in the rotation for a second.
The Mets are unlikely to add someone to their 40-man roster to replace Megill. So who’s the top choice? Let’s go outside of the organization.
1) Julio Teheran
Fresh Mets free agent rumors? Yep. The team is re-exploring Julio Teheran as an option for their rotation.
Teheran might not be any better than Butto or Lucchesi. But for the chance to at least see what his once upon a time Mets killer can offer from the mound, it’s a worthwhile opportunity. Butto and Lucchesi will still be with the team. Why not get as much from Teheran as possible?
Teheran didn’t have fantastic numbers last season, but in the first half he did go 2-3 with a 3.64 ERA in 8 starts for the Milwaukee Brewers. Holding opponents to a .227/.276/.407 slash line before the All-Star Break, it was in the second half when he was much worse.
Could it be that the length of the season created some burnout in Teheran? Or perhaps it wasn’t the season but rather his career that is coming to a halt.
As meaningless as spring training statistics already appear to be, Teheran did manage to go 13.1 frames for the Baltimore Orioles and post a 3.38 ERA. He walked a few too many batters and the strikeout numbers were predictably down as they were in the big leagues last year. The fact that the Mets can option him to the minors only adds to the intrigue.
Sometimes the devil you know is better than the one you don’t. Teheran won’t save the Mets season. If all he does is win you more games than he loses you, it’s the right call to make.