After one of the wildest finishes you can ever script, the New York Mets play a playoff game today as they begin the best-of-three Wild Card series against the Milwaukee Brewers, who won the National League Central for the second straight season.
The Brewers had beaten the Mets five times out of six in the regular season, with the Mets finally getting a win on their last try this past Sunday. But can things turn the other direction this time? Here
The Mets can win because they have better starting pitching than the Brewers.
The Mets rotation is lined up with Luis Severino, Sean Manaea, and Jose Quintana for each game respectively. All three pitchers have been excellent down the stretch of the season by going deep into games so often. All three also finished with an ERA+ over 100 (league average), which is an accomplishment given all the questions the Mets rotation had in spring training and when the Mets were struggling in the first two months of the season.
At the time of this writing, the Brewers had only announced their Game 1 starter, and that was their ace Freddy Peralta, while the rest of their rotation is still up in the air. The Brewers starters only going short recently has been concerning, as they seem to be reliant on their excellent bullpen to shut down the Mets offense.
So it's safe to say the Mets have the rotation advantage, despite having played lots of baseball over the past four days, and you need good starting pitching in the postseason.