3 Mets players who will make the Opening Day roster but not last the season

Aug 8, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets relief pitcher Phil Bickford (50) delivers
Aug 8, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets relief pitcher Phil Bickford (50) delivers / Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
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The New York Mets will enter the 2024 season with drastically lower expectations. The team expected to be right in the thick of World Series contention each of the last two seasons, but now it'd be surprising to see the Mets even make the playoffs, let alone compete for a World Series.

Expectations are lower because of what's transpired over the last season. The Mets underwhelmed in a big way in 2023, finishing with a 75-87 record and being big trade deadline sellers. This offseason, instead of just spending truckloads of money to fix the weaknesses the Mets have, Steve Cohen and David Stearns have taken a more conservative approach. They've signed a slew of players to one-year deals they hope work out in their favor, but won't be disastrous if they don't.

This season is more of an evaluation year. The Mets are looking to see what they have with the players in their organization. They expect to be somewhat competitive, but this isn't a season where expectations will be super high. With that in mind, some players will perform well, earning a spot for the entire season and potentially the future. Others, unfortunately, will begin the year on the roster but won't end it there.

1) Phil Bickford

The Mets were major sellers at the trade deadline, parting with a slew of veterans including Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer in exchange for prospects. While they were obviously sellers, the Mets did make one trade that helped them in the short-term, acquiring Phil Bickford and Adam Kolarek from the Dodgers in exchange for cash. This was a trade to get the Mets arms that they needed to get them through the remainder of the year, but they also clearly saw something they liked with these arms in particular.

Kolarek was a player the Mets were fine parting with as they DFA'd him less than a month after acquiring him. Bickford on the other hand, the Mets kept up the entire year and have kept him even through the offseason. Both Billy Eppler and David Stearns see something that they like in Bickford, but it's a mystery as to what that is.

Bickford was outstanding for the Dodgers in 2021 but struggled in 2022 and last season for them before the trade to the Mets. Once the Mets got him, it was more of the same from Bickford who posted a 4.62 ERA in 25 appearances down the stretch.

Bickford's strong finish to the year (0.84 ERA in September) allowed him to survive the tender deadline and will earn him a spot on the team's Opening Day roster. The fact that he's out of options will keep him around for a little bit. Unfortunately, the reality is he's just not good enough to stick around. He's 28 years old and has a 4.43 ERA in four MLB seasons. He is what he is at this point. He's fine to keep around for depth purposes but is far from safe on the active roster. Eventually the Mets will realize that, and part ways with him at some point during the season.

2) Jorge Lopez

Another reliever who will begin the year on the Opening Day roster but won't last the season is Jorge Lopez. Hot take? Perhaps. But it really shouldn't be.

The Mets signed Lopez to a one-year deal worth $2 million. This is nothing more than a massive gamble hoping this right-hander shows signs of the pitcher he was in the first half of the 2022 season. Out of nowhere, Lopez broke out for the Orioles, taking over as their closer and posting a 1.62 ERA in 40 appearances. He was an all-star for the Orioles and helped them stay afloat in the playoff race but was flipped at the deadline to the Twins.

Immediately after that trade, things went downhill for the now 30-year-old. Lopez struggled for Minnesota down the stretch, and pitched even worse for them this season before being traded at the end of July to the Marlins despite the Twins being in the playoff race. Lopez had an ERA over 9.00 for Miami in 12 appearances before being DFA'd and claimed by the Orioles to finish out the year. He struggled there too and was DFA'd right before the postseason.

Taking a chance on Lopez to see if he can recapture his 2022 first half form is fine, but it's hard to expect that to happen when he's been bad throughout the rest of his eight-year career. Lopez has a career 5.51 ERA in 230 appearances. A lot of that has to do with his struggles beginning his career as a starting pitcher, but he still has an ERA well over 4.00 in relief throughout his career, and that's even with the outstanding 2022 first half.

I'd love nothing more than for Lopez to be a dominant reliever for the Mets. He certainly has the stuff to be that guy. Unfortunately, the body of work suggests he's more likely to not even last the year than he is to come close to being as good as he was that one time.

3) Joey Wendle

The Mets haven't done much of anything notable when it comes to position players. The Tyrone Taylor acquisition is a good one, assuming he goes into a fourth outfielder role. Other than that, the only signing of note that's even worth discussing is Joey Wendle, who the Mets gave a one-year deal worth $2 million to.

This deal made a lot of sense for the Mets. Wendle is essentially the Luis Guillorme replacement. He can play three of the four infield positions with first base being the only place he doesn't play, just like Guillorme. He's a really good defender, and should do more with the bat than Guillorme. He's also a lot faster than Guillorme. The only question is if he'll be good enough to be worth keeping around.

Wendle had a good four-year run in Tampa Bay which included an all-star appearance in 2021. Unfortunately, since that season, he hasn't been very good at all at the plate. He's spent each of the last two seasons with the Marlins and had every chance to be their shortstop of the future, but just didn't hit enough.

This past season he slashed .212/.248/.306 with two home runs and 20 RBI in 112 games and 318 plate appearances. His 50 OPS+ was 20 points worse than Guillorme who was non-tendered because he didn't hit enough.

Wendle is expected to be the backup infielder. He'll presumably play mostly at second base and third base since Francisco Lindor rarely ever sits. The argument for him not lasting the whole season comes down to me expecting him to not hit enough and the Mets having other options to take a look at internally.

The top prospects are ones everyone is focused on, and for good reason, but those aren't guys who will take over Wendle's role as a reserve. Prospects who haven't debuted yet and aren't as highly touted but have hit well in the upper minors like Jeremiah Jackson and Luke Ritter are better fits, and will be deserving of a look in the event Wendle struggles. Having good fallback options means the Mets have no use of keeping Wendle around if his struggles offensively continue.

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