3 outfielders the Mets should have signed instead of Harrison Bader

The Mets were better off pursuing a different outfielder than Harrison Bader.

Sep 9, 2023; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds center fielder Harrison Bader (4) reacts after a
Sep 9, 2023; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds center fielder Harrison Bader (4) reacts after a / Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
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The New York Mets continued their themes of prioritizing defense, one-year deals, and former Yankees, by signing Harrison Bader to a one-year deal worth $10.5 million. Bader on that kind of contract makes sense as he's proven to be a worthy starting center fielder with unbelievable defensive attributes, but for this Mets team, it's hard to see the fit making much sense.

To start, Bader has major durability concerns. He's played 100+ games just three times in his seven-year career, and hasn't done so since 2021. He barely did it that season, appearing in 103 games for St. Louis. Considering the Mets have Brandon Nimmo and Starling Marte as their other starting outfielders who both come with injury concerns of their own, that's concerning.

Additionally, while Bader is a wizard defensively, he doesn't do much with the bat. Granted, we've seen him show up offensively in spurts like in the 2022 postseason with the Yankees, but he has a .706 OPS in his career and had a .622 OPS with the Yankees this past season. For a team that needs offense, signing Bader isn't the most ideal. While Bader is far from a bad player, he doesn't feel like the best fit on the 2024 Mets. These three outfielders would've made more sense.

1) Teoscar Hernandez

Cody Bellinger is pretty clearly the best outfielder available, but Teoscar Hernandez probably ranks second. His contract demands are likely why the Mets were never rumored to be in on him, but he would've made more sense on this Mets team in need of offense.

Hernandez had a bit of a down year with Seattle in 2023, slashing .258/.305/.435 with 26 home runs and 93 RBI. He had a down year by hitting 26 home runs. Bader has never hit more than 16 in a season, and has just three years with double digit home runs.

Hernandez has hit at least 25 home runs in each of the last four full seasons (excluding 2020), hitting as many as 32 in a season. He's won a pair of Silver Slugger Awards and has an .863 OPS with RISP in his career. He would've been a legitimate run producer on this Mets team that they really need in their middle of the order. He could've given the Mets legitimate Pete Alonso protection for the first time in years.

The 31-year-old isn't known for his glove, but still ranked in the 58th percentile in outs above average according to baseball savant and in the 88th percentile in arm value. He enjoyed one of, if not his best defensive season in 2023. Not close to Gold Glove level by any means, but average defense combined with a major offensive boost feels like a better fit for this Mets team than Bader's Gold Glove defense and limited offensive ability.

2) Adam Duvall

The Mets passing on Hernandez who is likely seeking a longer-term deal makes some sense, but that still doesn't mean they had to settle on Bader. They could've easily gone with a different outfielder who can give them more of an offensive boost for a year or two like Adam Duvall.

The 35-year-old Duvall is known mostly by Mets fans for the damage he caused as a member of the Braves and Marlins, and is a player the Mets should've pursued to be their starting left fielder because of how well-rounded of a player he is.

Duvall is known mostly for his bat, which is miles ahead of Bader. This past season he slashed .247/.303/.541 with 21 home runs and 58 RBI. He hit those 21 home runs in just 92 games. For reference, he'd be on a 36-home-run pace had he played a full 162-game season. He's hit 30+ home runs three times in his ten-year career, including hitting as many as 38 back in 2021 with the Marlins and Braves. Bader has never hit 20 in a season, let alone 30.

While his defense is not as good as Bader's Duvall did win a Gold Glove award in the 2021 season primarily serving as a corner outfielder. He only ranked in the 20th percentile in OAA this past season, but ranked in the 88th percentile in 2022 while playing all three outfield spots. He's not Bader-level defensively, but is no slouch while still providing so much more offensively.

Hernandez makes sense to pass on because he probably wanted more term and money. Duvall on the other hand, was likely looking for one or two years max. The Mets had no reason to not bring him aboard.

3) Tommy Pham

The Mets had a horrific year in 2023, but Tommy Pham was a pleasant surprise. He was signed on to be the team's fourth outfielder and platoon partner at the DH spot against lefties, but forced his way into the lineup regularly in left field as he was one of the only players actually producing.

In his 79 games played as a Met, Pham slashed .268/.348/.472 with 10 home runs and 38 RBI. He made himself a valuable trade deadline target for several teams, and wound up netting the Mets a solid return.

His production did tail off a bit with Arizona after the trade and considering the fact that he's 35 years old he probably won't replicate the production he had with the Mets, but he did rank in the 89th percentile in chase rate, the 90th percentile in xBA, and the 93rd percentile in average exit velocity according to baseball savant. There's every reason to believe if he's swinging at the right pitches and making great contact like he was in 2023, that he'll be an effective player in 2024 as well.

Pham is another guy who is nowhere near the defender Bader is, but provides more of the offense that this Mets team needs. Giving Nimmo another go in center field with more of an offensive-minded corner outfielder made more sense for the 2024 Mets than bringing in Bader to be a starter.

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