2 relief pitchers the Mets should sign, 1 they should avoid
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The New York Mets have a roster practically ready on the offensive side and in their starting pitching rotation. However, the team's bullpen lacks reliable figures, especially in high-leverage situations, which implies a risk in the team's desire to be competitive in 2024.
Beyond Edwin Diaz, the rest of the bullpen arms are Brooks Raley, Drew Smith, and Jorge Lopez as the options that would serve as a bridge for Diaz, complemented by Michael Tonkin, Phil Bickford, and Yohan Ramirez. Given that the team's options as of today do not seem to be the most reliable, the team must look for at least two experienced relievers who can be used late in games.
Phil Maton is the perfect fit for the Mets among the available options
When looking at the Mets bullpen, we can see that beyond Edwin Diaz and Brooks Raley there is no reliable option to serve as a right-arm setup man on the team. In this sense, among the options that are available on the free agency market is Phil Maton.
Maton is a 30-year-old pitcher with seven seasons in the majors playing for the San Diego Padres, Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros. It was in this last organization where Maton rediscovered himself as a pitcher, posting his best numbers of his career.
In 2023, Maton had one of his best years on the mound, posting an ERA of 3.00, striking out 74 batters in 66 innings pitched with a WHIP of 1.12. The right-handed pitcher has obtained better results thanks to his ability to reduce the damage with a hard hit contact below 24%, placing him in the top 1% of the league.
Maton has achieved this result through the continued use of his curveball, which has managed to keep his rivals to a batting average of just .169 and the spin rate of his fastball. Maton generate a swing and miss of around 70%, between both pitches.
The Mets would get a setup man capable of combining with Brooks Raley in high leverage situations to offload the responsibility and workload of Edwin Diaz. Maton would be an ideal piece for the team as it seeks to remain competitive in 2024.
Mets should sign Matt Moore as another lefty option in bullpen
Matt Moore is a long-time veteran pitcher in the major leagues. Since his beginnings with the Tampa Bay Rays, the 34-year-old pitcher has struggled to find consistency year after year in his pitches, something he has managed to show since 2022.
Over the last two seasons Moore has managed to maintain an ERA below 2.60 with a WHIP below 1.20. His tool to achieve better results is his ability to induce weak contact from hits, especially through a change-up with which he has managed to maintain an SLG allowed below .250 in consecutive seasons.
A relevant aspect over the last year is that Moore has managed to regain better control and command of his pitches, reducing his percentage of walks by almost six percentage points compared to the 2022 season. This control and weak contact comes coupled with an ability to generate the swing chase of opposing hitters in the league that places him in the 98th percentile of MLB.
Moore, along with Brooks Raley, could be a duo of left-handed pitchers in the veteran bullpen that would help both in situations against left-handed power hitters and in high leverage situations. Additionally, due to his age and time in age, Moore would carry a short-term contract of one year or two, for a relatively low value, which would be a good deal for the current state of the team.
Mets should avoid signing John Brebbia in this free agency
The Mets are in the market for relievers in this free agency in which John Brebbia has been mentioned as a profile of interest for David Stearns and the rest of the team's baseball operations area. Brebbia is coming off a good season with the San Francisco Giants, where he posted an ERA of 3.99 with a career high strikeout percentage of 29.2% and a WHIP of 1.17.
Brebbia has great potential in his fastball, which averages more than 94 mph, but it is his slider pitch that is the most used in this reliever's repertoire. His slider, which he uses 53.9% of the time, managed to induce a batting average of just .227 from opponents thanks to his high spin rate.
Although Brebbia looks like a good option at first glance, his metrics indicate that he is not a reliable pitcher. His hard hit contact in 2023 was excessively high (44%) and the SLG allowed on his slider was .511.
The above indicates that despite his good results, the fact that he was a pitcher in a favorable environment for pitchers such as the Giants stadium could considerably influence the performance of this pitcher. In view of the unknowns in the Mets' starting rotation and the bullpen itself, there are other more reliable options to serve as a bridge this season to keep the team competitive throughout the year.
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