3 hot Mets spring training performances we should buy as the real deal

Not every spring training performance should be taken with just a 'grain of salt'.

Mar 10, 2024; Port St. Lucie, Florida, USA;  New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez (4) picks up a
Mar 10, 2024; Port St. Lucie, Florida, USA; New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez (4) picks up a / Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
2 of 3
Next

The New York Mets are finally entering the final stretch of spring training. With Opening Day just a week from Thursday, the front office and coaching staff are taking last-minute evaluations of their projected roster. With most of the prospects now reporting to minor league camp, the major league roster has become set with just a few roles yet to be addressed. The most notable vacancies include a few bullpen spots and the final bench role with Jeff McNeil now seeming to be ready.

Throughout the totality of spring training, a couple of players have been nice surprises while others have been disappointing. Jose Iglesias' defense and Trayce Thompson's power surge have certainly stood out from the pack. On the opposite end, Brett Baty and Shinatro Fujinami have not bred more confidence in the third base and bullpen situations. However, some performances have not garnered as much attention, particularly the growth of some of the younger players with something to prove in 2024. Of that group, who has garnered more credibility this spring training?

1. Francisco Alvarez

At first glance, Francisco Alvarez's performance does not attract much attention from the fanbase. He has hit a couple of home runs this spring training, proving his power ability is still a special trademark. His willingness to learn the English language fluently is impressive and reflects his maturity at just 22 years old. In summary, fans do not think much about the young catcher in spring training since Alvarez is guaranteed a roster spot no matter his offensive statistics.

However, Alvarez's defense has been spectacular in spring training. The 22-year-old offseason priority was to enhance his pop-up time and throwing ability, calling his 2024 performance 'unacceptable'. Alvarez has been working with catching coach Glenn Sherlock on his footwork, particularly his stance behind the plate.

Sherlock described the change in stature as having a more traditional catcher's squat that enables Alvarez to keep his precise pitch-framing ability. So far, the results have translated as Alvarez has thrown out 6 out of 10 base stealers in 11 games this spring. In short order, Alvarez is on pace to become the first true 5-tool player the Mets have developed in quite some time.

2. Tylor Megill

Coming into spring training, it seemed as though the fanbase had made their evaluation of Tylor Megill over his three-year career. He was a nice surprise story in 2021 debuting in the major leagues straight from AA Binghamton. This performance earned Megill the Opening Day nod in 2022 until injuries limited him to just 9 starts. Last season, the 27-year-old pitched his first full season making 25 starts but battled with velocity decline late in games. This resulted in a midseason demotion to AAA and a season ERA of 4.70.

The decline in production in 2023 forced Megill to rethink his pitching repertoire during the offseason. First, he needed to correct his walk rate which was precise in 2021 at just 2.1 walks per nine innings pitched. However, this number climbed to 4.1 in 2023 due to habits he developed when rehabbing in 2022. So far in spring training, Megill has proven to correct this flaw only issuing 4 bases on balls through 16 innings pitched. He has better commanded his offspeed pitches which has resulted in fewer free passes for the opposing team.

Secondly, Megill needed to address the batter's comfortable adjustment to his scouting report. Now that Megill has been around the league, every team knows he is a hard thrower who attacks the strike zone. In readjusting himself, Megill developed the 'American Ghost Fork', which is essentially a split-changeup. This offering mirrors the split-change developed by Zack Wheeler under former pitching coach Dave Eiland's tutelage in 2018. Having a more unpredictable pitching arsenal coupled with great command of his offspeed has enabled Megill to hold an impressive 3.45 ERA through 5 appearances this spring.

3. Nate Lavender

The most intriguing aspect of spring training is having a chance to watch the future in action right on our television screens. With Steve Cohen's recent pivot to focus more on the farm system, Mets fans have been glued to the prospect rankings. For the most part, none of the younger talent particularly impressed, though most of the upper-tier were reassigned to minor league camp earlier than we would have liked.

However, the one prospect with a 2024 ETA that left an inspiring impression was left-handed relief pitcher Nate Lavender. Since being selected in the 14th round of the 2021 draft, the 24-year-old has dominated every level of the minor leagues. Splitting time between AA and AAA last season, Lavender pitched to a 2.98 ERA through 54.1 innings with 86 strikeouts.

Though the University of Illinois product pitched just 3 innings this spring, he made the most of every opportunity. Lavender struck out 7 of the 9 batters he faced, allowing none of them to reach base. Furthermore, the Mets will enter Opening Day with an open-ended bullpen since most pitchers are signed to just one-year contracts. Given the circumstances, Lavender's marquee impression this spring should grant him every opportunity to earn an early season promotion in 2024.

manual

Next