The Mets waited all year for Jose Quintana to make his debut, and the team finally saw what was supposed to be a key cog in the team's rotation last week, pitching five innings of two run baseball.
Now, Quintana takes the mound at Yankee Stadium opposing another lefty Carlos Rodon, who also missed most of this season with a shoulder injury. Rodon has struggled since coming off the injured list, can the Mets put together another sound offensive performance after winning 9-3 in the Subway Series opener?
Here are the odds for Wednesday's matchup:
Mets vs. Yankees odds, run line and total
Mets vs. Yankees prediction and pick
Quintana looked the part in his first start and I expect another strong outing against a Yankees lineup that is lost without Aaron Judge in the lineup. Judge is especially dangerous against lefties, and it's clear that the Yankees won't be able to tag Quintana, hitting only .232 on the year against southpaws, 27th in the big leagues.
For what it's worth, the Mets have also struggled hitting left handed pitching, 26th in batting average, but the team does a good job of working pitch counts and drawing walks, above league average in walk rate. Rodon has lacked his typical punch-out power and is posting a near even strikeout-to-walk ratio.
The Mets strikeout at the sixth lowest rate in baseball, and with Rodon's inability to generate swing and misses, I expect the visitors to get a leg up early and stay ahead of the floundering Yankees.
Rodon can't justify this price given his early returns this season, still feeling the effects of his shoulder injury. I'll take a shot on the Mets at + money.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.