Mets vs. Tigers prediction and odds for Wednesday, May 3 (Trust Scherzer off suspension)

Apr 19, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Max Scherzer (21) throws
Apr 19, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Max Scherzer (21) throws / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

After serving a 10 game suspension, Max Scherzer is back on the mound for the New York Mets against the lowly Detroit Tigers.

Scherzer has missed some time, but should look like he's in midseason form against the Tigers, who have a poor offense and will have little answer for him on the mound. The Mets can't afford to drop any games in a competitive NL East, so can they get a big effort with its ace back from some time off?

Let's dive into the odds and break down the matchup for New York:

Mets vs. Tigers odds, run line and total

Mets vs. Tigers prediction and pick

Scherzer was rounding into form before his suspension, pitching back-to-back shutout starts (his second one was cut short after being ejected after three clean innings), and should come out firing against the Tigers on Wednesday.

The Tigers are 28th in wRC+, so they aren't generating many run scoring chances, and are hitting just .222 as a group this year. Count on Scherzer to show up.

The question is can Joey Wentz figure it out against a Mets lineup that has been fairly poor at the plate against left handed pitching? New York is hitting .231 against southpaws, good for 22nd in Major League Baseball, but Wentz's inability to throw strikes is a problem. The lefty is walking nearly four batters per nine innings to go with his 6.45 ERA this season.

While the Tigers have a solid bullpen behind Wentz, the Mets offense can outpace the Tigers by a wide margin. New York has the MLB home run leader in Pete Alonso and a league average slugging percentage while the Tigers are last in slugging this season.

The Mets should roll behind Scherzer in his first start back from suspension.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.