Mets vs. Reds prediction and odds for Thursday, May 11 (New York closes series with win)

May 5, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Kodai Senga (34) reacts
May 5, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Kodai Senga (34) reacts / Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets are hoping to bounce out of a funk, and will hope its rookie pitcher can do just that.

While Justin Verlander pitched a gem on Wednesday to carry the Mets to a 2-1, the team will hand the ball to Kodai Senga to shut down a poor Cincinnati Reds lineup. Meanwhile, the Mets offense will need to get on track against opener Derek Law.

Can the Mets find success against the Reds' bullpen and close out the series with a win?

Let's get into the odds and find the best bet:

Mets vs. Reds odds, run line and total

Mets vs. Reds prediction and pick

Senga has been the most consistent arm in the Mets rotation this seas,on, fresh off a six inning, two hit shutout outing against the Rockies at home. I believe he's in line to shutdown the Reds lineup on Thursday afternoon with his ability to generate groundball contact, north of 50% so far this season.

The Reds stadium, Great American Ballpark, is a hitter friendly stadium that can lead to home runs, but Senga has done a great job thus far at limiting hard contact that is set to leave the yard.

On the other side, this could be a great spot for the Mets to bust out of a slump as a team. The Reds will go with Law, who will pitch an inning or so before handing it to a set of Cincinnati relievers that have struggled to limit runners on the basepaths all season.

The Mets have a top three walk rate and one of the best power hitters in Pete Alonso in the heart of the lineup (big league best 13 home runs), and I think they are primed for a big scoring output.

I'm taking New York on the run line to overwhelm Cincinnati in the series finale.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.