Mets vs. Brewers prediction and odds for Wednesday, April 5 (Mets offense gets right)

Mar 31, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) celebrates with
Mar 31, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) celebrates with / Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

It's been a slow start for the New York Mets in 2023.

The Amazin's are 3-3 to start the year, but haven't looked as dominant early on, especially in Milwaukee where the the team has lost a combined 19-0 to the Brewers. Can the team get on track Wednesday afternoon?

Here are the odds and our best bet:

Mets vs. Brewers odds, run line and total

Mets vs. Brewers prediction and pick

The Mets offense has struggled to start the year, last in slugging percentage thus far, but there's still plenty of talent to go around the lineup that is supported by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso in the heart of it.

I also think we are getting a good situation for the Mets, who have soured in the eyes of bettors after getting boat raced in two straight games, but get a reduced price because the team is facing Milwaukee ace Corbin Burnes. However, Burnes' a former Cy Young winner, had a concerning first start for the Brew Crew last week.

Burnes allowed four runs in five innings of work against the Cubs while walking as many batters as he struck out (three). Burnes had some underlying regression in his numbers last season, his ERA of 2.94 was supported by a FIP of 3.14 as he relied on his National League high 243 strikeouts. However, if he isn't striking out as many batters, he may be in for a significant drop off in play.

While I'd love to play the Mets at + money, I'd rather go for the over given the state of the the Mets bullpen that has had to lean on its relievers often during the teams two blowout losses.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.