Mets vs. Brewers prediction and odds for Tuesday, April 4 (Max Scherzer will be the stopper)

New York Mets starting pitcher Max Scherzer (21)
New York Mets starting pitcher Max Scherzer (21) / Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Well, yesterday was not the best day to be a New York Mets fan.

After a successful four-game stint down in Miami, they got blown out 10-0 in Game 1 of a three game set in Milwaukee. The Brewers used a seven run bottom of the fifth inning and six scoreless innings on the mound from Freddy Peralta to cruise to 3-1 on the season. New York is 3-2 after the loss. 

Today, New York turns over their rotation as Opening Day starter Max Scherzer gets the nod. Scherzer is 1-0 on the season with a 4.50 ERA after going six innings and allowing three runs in his first start of the season. Wade Miley, Milwaukee’s fifth starter, will make his first appearance for the Brewers since 2018 as he continues his tour of the NL Central. 

Let’s get into the odds for New York and Milwaukee today. 

Mets vs. Brewers odds, run line and total

Mets vs. Brewers prediction and pick

This is exactly the guy you want on the mound the day after a 10-0 loss if you’re New York. Max Scherzer has been a stopper for his entire career and even in his 17th season that’s not going to change. Typically the term stopper is reserved for a team on a losing streak, but a 10-0 loss this early feels like two or three losses in June.

He did allow three runs to Miami last start and his fastball velocity was down nearly a mile an hour, but that’s such a small sample so early in the season that I wouldn’t read anything into it.

Wade Miley on the other side hasn’t pitched yet this season and last year with the Cubs he made eight starts and had a 3.16 ERA. That’s after having a 3.37 ERA over a full season in Cincinnati the year before. Those are good numbers, but they both came with a FIP right around 4.00. There could be some regression, but we obviously need a sample to determine what kind of pitcher he is this season. 

Scherzer wasn’t dominant last time out, but everyone knows how intense he is and he’ll bring that fire for a team in need of it after a brutal loss yesterday. I think Scherzer shoves and the Mets win convincingly. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change