David Stearns gets a lot of flack for thinking he’s the smartest guy in the room. He’s hardly alone in sports. Algorithms and equations have their place in sports. It’s not just the New York Mets who operate with the belief they can outsmart everyone else.
Everyone is and should be convinced Freddy Peralta wears another uniform by the end of the 2026 season. The only thing stopping it are low-ball offers with the Mets instead playing the game of making him the qualifying offer to either rebound with them next year or at least limit his free agent market on other teams who might not be so fond to give up draft pick compensation.
Several perceived trade deadline buyers have the need and reputation for wanting a player like Peralta, pitching well below expectations. If there are three phone calls to make, it’s to these three teams who will be convinced they can fix Peralta.
Three Freddy Peralta suitors who might believe they can mend him
1) Tampa Bay Rays
Who better than the Tampa Bay Rays to fix Peralta? The remainder of his $8 million salary for this season isn’t a whole lot and they could easily convince the Mets to pay all or most of it to increase the prospect return. They’re a starting pitcher short at the moment and could benefit from buying low on Peralta.
Frequent trade partners with the Mets, there’s little excuse not to. If they bought high on Adrian Houser last year, they should be willing to go low on Peralta. This seems like the exact type of move the Rays should make that won’t damage the payroll or waste away another excellent season. The way they’re able to get the most out of certain pitchers makes them a prime candidate.
2) Milwaukee Brewers
Who better to fix Peralta than his old team, the Milwaukee Brewers? They could probably use two more starting pitchers if they really want to protect themselves. It would be one of the biggest twists for him to end up back with the Brewers after the high-profile trade sent him to the Mets this offseason. Familiarity helps here.
Of course, the Mets wouldn’t get nearly the same return back as what they gave up for him. We’d be lucky to see them send Jett Williams or Brandon Sproat back by themselves. Expect something significantly less barring a 180 degree turn from Peralta before the August 3rd trade deadline.
3) San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres are less sure to make the playoffs than the Rays or Brewers. A big reason is their offense. But let’s not overlook their poor starting pitching. Aside from Michael King, nobody is having a good year. Walker Buehler, Griffin Canning,German Marquez and Lucas Giolito are a foursome of offseason free agent signings that were cheap rebound candidates who haven’t worked out well.
Capable of falling out of the playoff race quickly, their spend low and hope for the best approach this offseason has bitten back hard. They’re not having as bad of a season as the Mets, but check back in late September. Only their bullpen has been good. Sound familiar? They’re not much different than the Mets. Where they sit in the NL Wild Card race will determine if they’re actually a match for a Peralta trade. Something tells me they’ll be close and bold enough to have the conversation.
