NY Mets predicted to win 89 games and face a familiar foe in the MLB playoffs

FanGraphs has run through their ZiPS projections and with 89 wins, the New York Mets are going to the playoffs. It’ll have them finishing second in the NL East behind the Philadelphia Phillies. As the mentality has been for several years, just get in.

The 89 wins will seed the Mets fourth in the National League, making them the top Wild Card seed. It’ll pit them against the second Wild Card club, which is a bit of a mystery based on the rest of the standings.

With 86 wins, there’s a tie between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers. The tie-breaker isn’t accounted for here, but either club would give the Mets an opponent they’re already familiar with.

Braves or Brewers, this would be an epic start to a potential playoff run for the Mets

The connections between either matchup are clear. Facing the Braves for the third time in Mets playoff history, each club taking one series, is big. It’s been a while since the last time they faced each other. 1999!

Amazingly, the Brewers might be the only team with a more intriguing storyline. The Mets and Braves battle each other enough in the regular season. The Brewers only make one trip to Citi Field and invite the Mets to Milwaukee once per season. The Freddy Peralta trade adds to the allure that already existed due to the presence of David Stearns in the Mets front office. Don’t forget, Billy Eppler is also an advisor for the Brewers.

The Mets-Brewers playoff connection is also fascinating with Peralta, Tobias Myers, and Devin Williams now in Queens. All three pitched in the infamous Game 3 of the 2024 NLWC which had Pete Alonso extending the Mets’ life a little deeper into October. Surely, that can’t hurt the Brewers to see those three succeed in the Big Apple and win a championship.

In March of 2025, the final ZiPS projected standings before Opening Day had the Mets winning 88 games with the Braves and Phillies one better at 89. Only Philadelphia won more with the Mets and Braves (especially them) coming up well short. ZiPS doesn’t feel pain thus doesn’t account for unforeseen injuries.

Projections are never 100% accurate because if they were, why would we ever play out the games? You can save a lot of money by just running the algorithm of data that we already know is wrong.

As different as this offseason has been for the Mets, it does seem as if everyone and everything is projecting the club to be in the playoffs once again. Talk about pressure! Carlos Mendoza is on a lame duck contract. David Stearns will be three years into his Mets tenure with two to go. Come up short again, Mendoza is gone and the seat gets hot on Stearns.