NY Mets offense isn’t this bad but they might be more mediocre than we’d like

Miami Marlins v New York Mets
Miami Marlins v New York Mets | Jim McIsaac/GettyImages

Entering the 2025 season, the New York Mets offense was lauded as one of the best in the league, with some analysts even suggesting it could surpass the formidable Los Angeles Dodgers. Boasting a potent blend of high-contact hitters, on-base percentage specialists, power threats, and speed, the Mets' lineup appeared to be a recipe for offensive dominance.

However, as the season has unfolded, the offensive output hasn't quite lived up to the preseason hype. Leaving fans wondering if this is more than just a slump.

Beyond the Big Three, Mets offense showing cracks despite promising metrics

Initially, the underperformance seemed attributable to sheer misfortune. According to Baseball Savant, the Mets rank among the top three teams in hard-hit contact percentage and barrel rate. Furthermore, their expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) outpaces their actual wOBA, indicating that bad luck has played a considerable role in suppressing run production.

However, beyond the stellar performances of Francisco Lindor, the newly acquired Juan Soto, and the consistently powerful Pete Alonso, the lineup is riddled with inconsistency and question marks. Brandon Nimmo, a cornerstone of the Mets' offense for his on-base skills, has struggled to find consistent form for over a year, and his ability to get on base has noticeably declined. Mark Vientos, who showed promise in the 2024 season, has stumbled out of the gate, raising concerns about his ability to replicate that offensive production.

Perhaps the most glaring issue has been the revolving door at second base. The offensive output from this position has been a significant drag on the team. Brett Baty, despite multiple opportunities, has once again failed to produce at a Major League level, leaving a gaping hole in the lineup and forcing the Mets to explore other options.

Despite these concerns, there is still reason for optimism. The imminent return of catcher Francisco Alvarez from injury should provide a significant boost of power and energy to the lineup. Alvarez's bat has the potential to be a game-changer and lengthen the Mets' offensive attack. Additionally, an unlikely source of potential offensive spark could be Jeff McNeil. Once a fan favorite who then faced calls for his trade, McNeil's recent "torpedo bat" experiment could show flashes of his old hitting prowess, and he could emerge as an unexpected catalyst for run production.

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