MLB Draft Lottery results predictably have the NY Mets plummeting down the board

The Mets are dropping 10 spots in next year's draft, about as low as they possibly could have.
2024 MLB Draft Presented by Nike
2024 MLB Draft Presented by Nike | Richard Rodriguez/GettyImages

MLB has a Draft Lottery. Who knew? For the fourth straight year, all non-playoff teams were entered into a lottery system to determine where they’d pick in next year’s draft. The Mets, with just a 0.67% chance at the first overall selection, were in a precarious spot.

Limited chances of picking first overall already, the Mets needed to climb into at least one of the top six spots to secure a notable selection. Anything 7th or lower would be docked ten spots because they exceeded the luxury tax threshold in 2025.

The Mets landed exactly where they were meant to as the 17th overall selection. However, because of the penalty, they were pushed back 10 more spots to an unlucky number 27.

Picking near the end of the first-round has become a staple for the Mets in recent years

Usually when you’re picking so low in the draft it’s because your team did well in the previous year. Well, not the Mets. They didn’t pick until 38th last year, taking Mitch Voit. Circumstances were different as the 2024 Mets were able to get to the NLCS. The year prior, selecting 19th overall, they landed Carson Benge who thus far seems like a success heading toward the majors. One year prior, they had to wait until the 32nd overall pick. They took Colin Houck who appears like he’ll have a tough time getting out of Single-A.

It hasn’t exactly been the best day for the Mets. Kyle Schwarber went back to the Philadelphia Phillies despite their heavy interest. Larger was Edwin DIaz parting for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

If this is a rip off the Band-Aid spot for the offseason, they mine as well get all of the pain out of the way now. The difference between a 17th overall pick and 27th has a chance to be significant (or not). Vida Blue is by far the best taken 27th overall in MLB history. The drop-off after in terms of career WAR is huge with Rick Porcello and Pete Harnisch coming immediately after.

Meanwhile, the 17th overall pick has included Hall of Famer Roy Halladay plus Cole Hamels, Gary Matthews Sr., and Charles Nagy as some of the best.

The MLB Draft is known as a crapshoot. Consider the Mets’ fall a stubbed toe on a day that included the loss of a limb.

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