The New York Mets entered the offseason with a glaring need of pitching. After seeing several arms depart via free agency, the Mets opted for a strategy reminiscent of their 2024 approach – eschewing big-name signings in favor of short-term deals with upside.
So far, spring training has offered a mixed bag. While Griffin Canning and Tylor Megill have shown promise, the Frankie Montas signing has quickly turned sour, plagued by early health concerns. However, one pitcher who inked a one-year deal this winter is shining, leaving Mets fans wondering in what ifs.
Walker Buehler's spring spark shows Mets what could have been
Buehler was indeed on the Mets' radar this offseason, seeking a one-year contract to rebuild his value after a tumultuous 2024 season. Last year saw Buehler struggle mightily, posting a 5.34 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 75.1 innings, while also recording career-worst K/9 and BB/9 rates. Despite these struggles, Buehler’s talent remained undeniable.
Ultimately, Buehler signed with the Boston Red Sox for $21.05 million, matching the value of the qualifying offer this offseason. Almost immediately, Buehler has looked revitalized this spring. He's displayed improved command and appears to have corrected some mechanical and pitch distribution issues that plagued him last year.
Specifically, Buehler's fastball, which was a major liability in 2024 (yielding a .696 slugging percentage), has taken a backseat. He's now focusing on his cutter as his primary pitch, which has shown elite Stuff+ metrics this spring. His fastball usage has plummeted to just 16%, reflecting his strategic shift.
Buehler's effectiveness is evident in his spring training numbers. He boasts a low ERA and one of the lowest WHIPs among pitchers with 10 or more innings pitched. Meanwhile, the Mets are building a rotation around depth pieces like Canning and Megill, hoping they can compensate for Montas's absence.
The signing of Buehler, while more expensive, would have provided a proven, reliable arm with a strong track record. While the Mets gambled on upside and potential with Montas, Buehler's early spring performance is a stark reminder of the stability and quality they passed up. A $21.05 million, one-year commitment to Buehler would have been a better gamble than the current Montas situation and a great addition to a team that is trying to compete.