Checking in on 5 bold preseason NY Mets predictions: MVP, pitching leader, more

Before the season began, everyone and their mother and their mother’s mother made predictions for what was in store for the New York Mets. It’s easy to predict certain events. It’s those bold predictions worth keeping tabs on.

On March 26, I put together my own list of bold Mets predictions. How close, or how far off, are they on June 5?

First prediction: Someone finishes with more MVP votes than Juan Soto or Francisco Lindor

The thought process was that if there were two obvious MVP candidates on the Mets, it would be Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor. The latter has done his part. The former isn’t anywhere within shouting distance of being the league’s best player. However, Pete Alonso is. A two home run night against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday added to the heat he has been coming to plate with lately after a brief slumber. Unfortunately, the boldness of this prediction didn’t directly name him as the better MVP candidate. Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos were suggested possibilities. Lesson learned. Go as bold as possible because if there was anyone of the three who has the track record to prove it, it’s the Polar Bear.

Second prediction: Griffin Canning leads the team in wins, but just barely

Griffin Canning now leads the Mets with 6 wins. He’s in a tie alongside Clay Holmes and Kodai Senga who have the same. Admittedly, this is a prediction I didn’t truly believe in. A strong spring training, the desire to go bold, and go against the gut instinct has this prediction looking pretty good at the moment.

Third prediction: Mets finish in the top 8 in runs scored and pitching ERA

Looking back, this is a pretty lame prediction because of the ease of it. The team has been well-balanced in 2025. There is work to be done. Their 275 runs is ranked 11th in MLB. Their 2.83 ERA is first. We’re halfway there.

Fourth prediction: Starling Marte, Jose Siri, and Jesse Winker will have reduced roles by August 1

Hmm. So we know the Mets aren’t sold on Starling Marte. Jesse Winker wasn’t performing all that well before landing on the IL. Neither was Jose Siri. This is the type of prediction we need to sit on. The boldness only comes from three names. An outsider to DH and the rise of someone else as an additional center field candidate other than Jeff McNeil can help make this prediction come true. Consider it one of those predictions you don’t really care to get wrong.

Fifth prediction: Mets win the NL East with 90 wins but get eliminated in the NLDS

Only 90 wins? This feels light for the way this team is playing. An elimination in the NLDS? I must’ve watched a movie about a dog dying before coming up with this prediction. The MLB playoffs are unpredictable. It does feel like the Mets have a strong shot at the division. It’s going to take more than 90 wins and luckily the pace they’re on should have them exceeding. As for the conclusion, we need to wait until October.