Ranking Mets player odds of making the 2021 All-Star team

LOS ANGELES, CA - MAY 29: Pete Alonso #20 of the New York Mets is greeted by Michael Conforto #30 and Dominic Smith #22 after hitting a two-run home run in the first inning of the game against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on May 29, 2019 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA - MAY 29: Pete Alonso #20 of the New York Mets is greeted by Michael Conforto #30 and Dominic Smith #22 after hitting a two-run home run in the first inning of the game against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on May 29, 2019 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JULY 14: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Jacob deGrom #48 of the New York Mets in action during an intra squad game at Citi Field on July 14, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JULY 14: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Jacob deGrom #48 of the New York Mets in action during an intra squad game at Citi Field on July 14, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

It is always fun to predict things for the upcoming season and look back at the end of the season to see how you did. The New York Mets had one of their best offseasons in recent years and have a pretty deep roster now as a result.

You can make a legitimate argument for just about every starting player on the team and multiple pitchers on why they can and should make the All-Star team this season.

The Mets sent three of their players to the All-Star game in 2019 which was the most recent one with the 2020 season not having one. The 2021 season is shaping up well as that three from 2019 looks like it can and likely will be squashed relatively easily.

The Mets have a solid chance of sending multiple players to the 2021 All-Star game.

With the Mets having an All-Star caliber lineup looking up and down the roster, it brings a nice feeling to Queens for the first time in a long time. Although the Mets have had some strong players in recent years and have gone on some impressive runs, it has been a while since the Mets have had a roster this deep.

Let’s get into the ranking tiers and see what odds Mets players have of making the 2021 All-Star team.

SureFire Bet

Looking up and down the roster, the Mets have a deep roster for the first time in quite some time, and they still only have two guys who are surefire bets to be at the mid-summer classic. The man who is aging like a fine wine as he has won the Cy Young award in two of the last three seasons and finished third last year, while also being named to the All-Star team in those Cy Young seasons (easily would have made it last season as well if there was one) in Jacob deGrom is a safe bet to make.

Many experts around the league do not see deGrom slowing down anytime soon as they have him winning the Cy Young award this season or at the very least a finalist, so for him to make the All-Star team is pretty much a guarantee at this point. The only question at this point is if deGrom will be on the mound to start the game.

The other man who is essentially a guarantee is the man himself Mr. Smile, Francisco Lindor. Lindor is one of the top players in all of baseball and has made the All-Star team in four out of his six seasons, the two he did not were his rookie season and the shortened 2020 season where there was not an All-Star game.

Despite taking a minor step back in 2020, Lindor is still looked at as a top player in the league and a complete game-changer. Lindor is a safe bet to see suited up at the All-Star come July as he has been a regular there in his career and nothing is expected to change anytime soon.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 09: Jeff McNeil #6 of the New York Mets celebrates with Pete Alonso #20 after hitting a 2-run home run to left field in the fourth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Citi Field on September 09, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 09: Jeff McNeil #6 of the New York Mets celebrates with Pete Alonso #20 after hitting a 2-run home run to left field in the fourth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Citi Field on September 09, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /

Pretty strong chance

Next up we have a group of guys who have a pretty strong chance and nobody would be shocked to see them in the All-Star game once it is here. First up we have the Polar Bear in Pete Alonso. Alonso burst onto the scene in 2019 in his rookie year and was named to the All-Star team to no surprise. Despite taking a step back last year, he looked a lot better this spring training and should have a nice bounce-back year, resulting in a mid-summer classic appearance.

Another guy who had a breakout year in 2019 was Jeff McNeil. 2019 was McNeil’s first full season in the big leagues and he made the most of it as he too was selected to the All-Star game. It is clear the type of player McNeil is now, he is going to put the bat on the ball and hit around .300, hit some home runs, and play pretty good defense anywhere on the diamond. That type of player should not have an issue making the All-Star team, especially now that he can settle in and get more comfortable at one position this season with the suspension to Robinson Cano.

Although he has only made the All-Star team one time in his six-year career, Michael Conforto has a very good shot of making the All-Star team as well. It looked like Conforto finally became the “full” hitter everyone expected him to be last year, and in a contract year this season he should continue that and have another great season.

The last player that has a pretty good chance of making the All-Star team is Dominic Smith. It took Smith some time to find himself once reaching the majors, but once he did he has proved he belongs. His 2019 season proved to be no fluke when he put up even better numbers in the shortened 2020 season and finished 13th in MVP voting. Now that Smith is expected to play every day even though out of position in left field, his bat more than makes up for it and can easily get him a spot on the All-Star team.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 07: Edwin Diaz #39 of the New York Mets in action against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on September 07, 2020 in New York City. The Phillies defeated the Mets 9-8 in ten innings. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 07: Edwin Diaz #39 of the New York Mets in action against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on September 07, 2020 in New York City. The Phillies defeated the Mets 9-8 in ten innings. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

Possible, but will take some convincing

Up next we have what I believe to be the most interesting category of guys. These players wouldn’t be the biggest shock, but it would take some convincing, mainly due to the elite competition at their positions.

First up we have a guy that fans still seem to be very torn on with Edwin Diaz. Yes, Diaz was not great in 2019, but he bounced back nicely in 2020 and showed the type of pitcher he can be, and who I believe he is. Just because he was apart of a deal that looks to be terrible for the Mets, does not mean it is his fault, he is a good pitcher and there is no denying that.

The biggest thing that will be in his way from making the All-Star team is the competition around the league. With so many teams have deep bullpens around the league and multiple top-end pitchers, it makes it harder to make the All-Star team as a relief pitcher. If Diaz can have a similar season like 2020 or his historic 2018 season, it is very possible we see him in the All-Star game.

Next up, we have the new backstop for the Mets with James McCann. McCann has seemed to have found himself at the plate the last two seasons in addition to his above-average defense, making him a pretty solid player. As a result of his recent success, he made the All-Star in 2019.

McCanns struggles of making the All-Star team this season will likely be due to the competition around the league instead of his own performance struggles. With other star catchers in the National League like J.T. Realmuto, Wilson Contreras, the emergence of Travis d’Arnuad, and rising star Will Smith, McCann has some solid competition.

The last guy that can possibly make it but will need some convincing is Brandon Nimmo. Nimmo’s defense in center is still a bit of a concern, but his ability to get on base at an elite rate and hit some home runs help him greatly.

The abundance of great outfielders is where Nimmo gets hurt. He already has two guys on his own team that I believe have a better shot than him in Smith and Conforto, not to mention the rest of the league that is stacked in the outfield. If Nimmo were to improve other areas of his game such as his average, stolen bases, and defense, it could definitely be possible to see him get an All-Star nod.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – AUGUST 08: J.D. Davis #28 of the New York Mets in action against the Miami Marlins at Citi Field on August 08, 2020 in New York City. New York Mets defeated the Miami Marlins 8-4. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – AUGUST 08: J.D. Davis #28 of the New York Mets in action against the Miami Marlins at Citi Field on August 08, 2020 in New York City. New York Mets defeated the Miami Marlins 8-4. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /

Long Shot

Moving down the tier we have guys that are a bit of a long shot of making the All-Star team. These guys are not bad by any means, but issues such as injury, strong competition at their position, and lack of all-around playing ability will hurt them.

The first guy that is a long shot is J.D. Davis. While I personally love J.D. and am glad he was not traded this past offseason after rumors of him potentially being dealt, his rather poor defensive skills and extreme talent around the league at third base make him a long shot for making the All-Star team.

Next up for guys that I see as long shots is Marcus Stroman. I am sort of going against myself on this call as I previously predicted him to have a great year which included him being sent to the mid-summer classic. I do still believe Stroman will have a great season, but the mass amount of elite starting pitching and a minimal amount of pitchers on the All-Star team is why I see Stroman as a long shot right now.

Another pitcher that I see as a long shot is newcomer Trevor May. Despite coming off some really impressive years with the Minnesota Twins, the fact that he will not be closing games unless the bullpen falls apart to a completely another level hurts him. It is not often or even all that likely a relief pitcher makes the All-Star when not closing games for their team, and as a result, May is a long shot of making the team.

Next up we have a pitcher similar to May in Seth Lugo. Just like May, Lugo is not expected to close games this season as that job is expected to be for Edwin Diaz. In addition to the fact that Lugo will likely not close games, he will also miss some time due to injury to begin the season, hurting his chances even more.

The last man left on the list is another newcomer in Carlos Carrasco. The main thing holding back Carrasco is the fact that he will also begin the season on the sideline with Lugo. Despite never have been selected to an All-Star game in his 11-year career, Carrasco has been one of the most solid consistent pitchers in the game, so there is still a possibility even if small.

No shot (sorry not sorry)

The last tier we have is an unfortunate no-shot of making the All-Star team. The remainder of the roster falls here for a variety of reasons, ranging from their own ability, the position they play at being too deep with talent, and/or lack of playing time.

It is clear the Mets have a very deep roster for 2021 and come mid-summer time I believe the All-Star game will show it as multiple Mets will be there and repping the National League.

Only time will tell who really does end up representing the Amazins at the mid-summer classic, but as it stands, it looks like the Mets have a good chance to have a strong showing come July.

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