NY Mets: Three options if Michael Conforto does not re-sign

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 08: Michael Conforto #30 of the New York Mets at bat against the Baltimore Orioles at Citi Field on September 08, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 08: Michael Conforto #30 of the New York Mets at bat against the Baltimore Orioles at Citi Field on September 08, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images)
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 06: Michael Conforto #30 of the New York Mets fields his position against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on September 06, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 06: Michael Conforto #30 of the New York Mets fields his position against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on September 06, 2020 in New York City. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images) /

The New York Mets have had quite the rollercoaster of an off-season. The positives include the trade for All-Star shortstop Francisco Lindor and veteran starter Carlos Carrasco, solidifying catching defense with James McCann, and adding bullpen depth and Twitter entertainment with Trevor May.

The Mets did miss out on George Springer and chose not to pursue J.T. Realmuto, who re-signed with division rival Philadelphia.

The Mets appear to be the frontrunners to land Trevor Bauer, who represents the Mets last chance to land one of the “big” 2021 free agents.

Some may call it a disaster if the Mets strike out on all of the big-time hot stove names, which is of course not a logical sentiment.

But there may be another potential disaster lurking.

What does the future hold for Mets outfielder Michael Conforto?

Outfielder Michael Conforto is set to enter free agency after the upcoming season. Details of a potential extension have been scarce, though team president Sandy Alderson did recently state that he anticipates on having “serious” extension talks with Conforto’s representatives.

On December 17, 2020, Alderson announced his intention to hold extension talks with Conforto, but provided little in substantive details:

“I expect that we’ll have some serious conversations. I have no idea where it will go. You know, (Conforto’s agent) Scott (Boras) has a reputation. I think Michael likes to play in New York. He’s been a great player ever since we brought him up. And I hope he stays with us. But those talks are yet to come.”

Alderson references the notorious agent Scott Boras, who has developed a tough-nosed reputation in his dealings with general managers. Boras typically holds out for top offers and has a terrific track record of securing lucrative contracts for his clients.

Mets fans should have confidence that Alderson and acting general manager Zack Scott will be able to secure an extension with Conforto and Boras.

Still, there will be a very competitive market for Conforto’s services if they can’t lock him up before free agency begins and the Mets would be wise not let him hit the open market.

If Conforto does sign elsewhere, the Mets will have to evaluate potential replacements.

The bad news is that the upcoming free agent class of outfielders is not particularly impressive.

It will be difficult, if not impossible, to replace Conforto’s production should he leave.

However, these options could help soften the blow of losing one of the more popular Mets in recent memory.

MINNEAPOLIS, MN – SEPTEMBER 30: Eddie Rosario #20 of the Minnesota Twins gets the final out in the top of the sixth inning against the Houston Astros during Game Two of the American League Wildcard series at Target Field on September 30, 2020 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Houston Astros swept the series and defeated the Minnesota Twins 3-1.(Photo by Adam Bettcher/Getty Images)
MINNEAPOLIS, MN – SEPTEMBER 30: Eddie Rosario #20 of the Minnesota Twins gets the final out in the top of the sixth inning against the Houston Astros during Game Two of the American League Wildcard series at Target Field on September 30, 2020 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Houston Astros swept the series and defeated the Minnesota Twins 3-1.(Photo by Adam Bettcher/Getty Images) /

Sign Eddie Rosario

After spending his first six Major League seasons with the Twins, lefty-hitting Eddie Rosario signed a one-year, $8 million deal with the Cleveland Indians for 2021.

Rosario entered free agency after the 2020 campaign when Cleveland decided not to tender him an offer in his final year of arbitration eligibility. The move was a bit of a surprise considering Rosario had a fantastic 2019 season and followed it up with a solid 2020.

Rosario is not the offensive player Conforto is but he does bring good pop, hitting at least 24 homers in the last three full seasons (2017-2019), including a career-high 32 in 2019.

His career slash line of .277/.310/.478 is not overly impressive as Rosario does not have the plate discipline to match Conforto.

However, Rosario brings a solid glove to the outfield and would be an instant defensive upgrade.

Rosario’s defense slipped in 2019 largely due to an ankle injury, but rebounded nicely last season. He finished fourth among qualified outfielders in Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) last year and would bring good speed and an above-average arm to a Mets outfield starving for defensive upgrades.

Traditionally a left fielder, Rosario may have to shift to right field depending on future roster construction.

If Rosario’s offense continues to progress, the Mets would not be losing much raw power if he had to replace Conforto. Of course, Rosario is not nearly as good a contact hitter and cannot get on base at Conforto’s rate.

Rosario would be a decent replacement, but would not be able to effectively replicate Conforto’s production.

CINCINNATI, OH – SEPTEMBER 14: Nick Castellanos #2 of the Cincinnati Reds bats against the Pittsburgh Pirates during game two of a doubleheader at Great American Ball Park on September 14, 2020 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OH – SEPTEMBER 14: Nick Castellanos #2 of the Cincinnati Reds bats against the Pittsburgh Pirates during game two of a doubleheader at Great American Ball Park on September 14, 2020 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images) /

Sign Nick Castellanos

Castellanos has a player option after 2021 so he would first have opt-out before hitting the market. Signing Castellanos may be a long shot but if he does get to free agency he is a very intriguing target for the Mets.

If he chooses to opt-in after this year, the 28-year-old Castellanos would remain in Cincinnati through at least 2023 (his contract also contains a mutual option for 2024), and earn $16,000,000 each year.

Given his current contract structure, it is reasonable to think that Castellanos would opt-out, especially if he performs well in 2021. A great 2021 season would likely earn Castellanos a lucrative long-term contract that would pay him for the rest of his prime years.

Castellanos actually could have also opted out after 2020 but performed poorly and wisely chose to stay put. The disappointing season saw Castellanos slash just .225/.298/.486 while playing in all 60 games in his first season with the Reds.

However, if he can regain the form that saw him hit .280/.330/.487 with 109 homers from 2015 to 2019 with the Tigers, and briefly the Cubs, Castellanos could become a very valuable addition.

If he can match that production in 2021, Castellanos would undoubtedly opt-out, making him likely the second-most attractive outfield free agent behind Conforto.

One big caveat: Castellanos historically has not been a good defensive player. Prior to 2018, Castellanos mostly played third base before transitioning to right field full-time. So far, neither defensive experiment has gone particularly well.

If the National League finally adopts the designated hitter, this will not be as big of an issue but for now, it is a serious concern if he were to patrol the spacious Citi Field outfield.

MLB writer Mike Petriello wrote an interesting piece in November 2019 highlighting evidence that Castellanos was involving into a competent defensive player.

As Petriello articulates, Castellanos’ first full season as an outfielder went so poorly that the Tigers had considered transitioning him back to the infield.

However, the article goes on to analyze Castellanos from 2019 onward and details how he has improved from a poor defensive player to an average one.

The hope is that as Castellanos continues to gain experience in the outfield, he can become serviceable enough to be a serviceable defender.

If his bat returns to its pre-2020 status, Nick Castellanos would be an intriguing replacement should the Mets lose Conforto.

FT. MYERS, FL – FEBRUARY 27: Andrew Benintendi #16 of the Boston Red Sox reacts after hitting a single during the inning of a Grapefruit League game against the Philadelphia Phillies on February 27, 2020 at jetBlue Park at Fenway South in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images)
FT. MYERS, FL – FEBRUARY 27: Andrew Benintendi #16 of the Boston Red Sox reacts after hitting a single during the inning of a Grapefruit League game against the Philadelphia Phillies on February 27, 2020 at jetBlue Park at Fenway South in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Billie Weiss/Boston Red Sox/Getty Images) /

Trade for Andrew Benintendi

In 2018, Red Sox outfielder Andrew Benintendi seemed poised to become one of baseball’s best young stars. However, he then regressed with a mediocre 2019 and played just 14 games in an injury-shortened 2020.

Benintendi will turn 27 in July. 2022 will be his final season with arbitration eligibility. Depending on his 2021 performance, it is conceivable that after the season whatever team he is on (more on that below) may do anything from offering an extension or to non-tendering him.

Benintendi’s situation is quite fascinating. Once baseball’s number one prospect, many around the game now expect Benintendi to be dealt prior to the start of this season.

Obviously, Benintendi has not been traded yet, shocking the aforementioned “rival executive.” Still, it seems inevitable that Benintendi will be moved before Opening Day.

The situation is fluid but for now, Benintendi remains an intriguing trade target should the Mets need to replace Conforto.

He is the youngest player on this list and unlike Rosario and Castellanos would not require a long-term contract right away.

Benintendi also has the most upside of maybe every realistic Conforto replacement option. He is a left-handed contact hitter that has a demonstrated ability to read the strike zone and consistently get on base. At his best, he profiles very similarly to Conforto.

Benintendi will need a significant bounce-back season to be considered a legitimate replacement option. It is also unclear where he will be playing in 2021 and what his potential new team’s long term plans may involve.

A lot will have to go right for Benintendi but the potential for a lot of production exists. If Conforto does not re-sign with the Mets, it will be interesting to see where Benintendi stands after this season.

If he returns to the player he was in 2018, fans should be very excited to see Benintendi in a Mets uniform.

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Of course, a Conforto extension would bring the most excitement to the fanbase.

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