New York Mets non-tender candidates to watch for this winter

Sep 22, 2020; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets center fielder Guillermo Heredia (15) celebrates his solo home run against the Tampa Bay Rays with second baseman Robinson Cano (24) and right fielder Jeff McNeil (6) during the seventh inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 22, 2020; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets center fielder Guillermo Heredia (15) celebrates his solo home run against the Tampa Bay Rays with second baseman Robinson Cano (24) and right fielder Jeff McNeil (6) during the seventh inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
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Sep 27, 2020; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; New York Mets center fielder Guillermo Heredia (15) attempts to catch a fly ball by Washington Nationals second baseman Brock Holt (not pictured) in the seventh inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 27, 2020; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; New York Mets center fielder Guillermo Heredia (15) attempts to catch a fly ball by Washington Nationals second baseman Brock Holt (not pictured) in the seventh inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports /

Out of all of the arbitration-eligible players on the New York Mets, three stand out the most as possible non-tender candidates. Who are they and why would the team move on?

Many expect this year to future plenty of players non-tendered by their clubs. Due to the financial impact of not having fans in the stands and just 60 games of regular season baseball on television, lots of teams are hurting. The New York Mets should not be affected by this because of the incoming ownership of Steve Cohen.

Still, the club has three non-tender candidates on their roster. These are guys under team control through the salary arbitration process about to make a few dollars more than they probably deserve.

Using the projections by MLB Trade Rumors for the 2021 salaries, these three Mets stand out as the most obvious non-tender candidates on the roster.

Mets non-tender candidate Guillermo Heredia

MLB Trade Rumors expects Guillermo Heredia to earn anywhere from $1.3-1.5 million in 2021. I don’t think money is necessarily the problem in his case. Instead, the focal point is how much the Mets really need him or not.

Heredia did okay in his seven games for the team in 2020. He slashed .235/.278/.588 in 18 plate appearances. Heredia even knocked a pair of home runs.

As a fifth outfielder candidate, Heredia can work on some ball clubs. However, with the Mets, I would appreciate it if they upgraded a little more.

Set to turn 30 in January, Heredia isn’t a developing young player that just needs more time. He has been around the league for years and isn’t going to suddenly stumble upon greatness. He fits in well as one of the last men on a bench. With higher hopes for the 2021 Mets, I think they can put his arbitration money to better use. More important, his roster spot can be upgraded.

Sep 8, 2020; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets relief pitcher Robert Gsellman (65) pitches against the Baltimore Orioles during the sixth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 8, 2020; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets relief pitcher Robert Gsellman (65) pitches against the Baltimore Orioles during the sixth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports /

Mets non-tender candidate Robert Gsellman

Robert Gsellman is someone Mets fans are much more familiar with than Heredia. He has been with the club since 2016. This past season could potentially be his last calling Citi Field home.

The projected salary arbitration for him is $1.2-1.4 million. It’s not much at all for a pitcher that can come into the game as a starter or reliever. However, given his poor performance, I’m not so sure he’s worth even keeping around on the roster.

Gsellman showed promise early on in his career. Like many Mets pitchers in 2016, he was fantastic.

In the years since Gsellman has settled into more of a relief role. He started off pitching well in 2018 but eventually saw his numbers decline. He finished the year with a 4.28 ERA which isn’t bad but it’s also not very good.

Ideally, I would keep Gsellman around as the mop-up man out of the bullpen. When the Mets are getting blown out, he’s a good candidate to give them three or four innings. He could even give them a frame or two in games where they are way ahead of the other team.

Finally, Gsellman could give the Mets an arm to start in an emergency situation. I wouldn’t be too confident in his abilities. At least it’s better than some of the other options we have seen take the mound for the Mets in recent years.

If MLB Trade Rumors’ prediction is accurate, I do think Gsellman stays with the club in 2021. He’s not hurting the payroll and still has some youth on his side to maybe develop further. He’ll need some of the coaching staff to vouch on his behalf, though.

Jul 25, 2020; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Steven Matz (32) pitches during the first inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports
Jul 25, 2020; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Steven Matz (32) pitches during the first inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports /

Mets non-tender candidate Steven Matz

Last but not least we have the biggest name on this list, Steven Matz. What the club does with him this winter and possibly next year intrigues me. They can non-tender him and eliminate all of those future decisions.

Or they could bring Matz back and try to see what role is best for him.

Matz is expected to make $5-5.3 million in 2021. It’s a lot more than he showed he’s worth in 2020. Unless the team actually wants to use him as a starting pitcher or has faith in him as a reliever, I’m not sure he’s worth nearly that much.

Matz was dreadful this past year. In six starts and three relief appearances, the longtime Mets lefty was 0-5 with a 9.68 ERA. This year was his chance to step up and really provide the Mets with some good starts. I’m not sure things could have gone worse.

Nearing 30, the Mets need to realize Matz is never going to become the stud starter they once believed he could become—at least not with them. There’s always the possibility weighing that he figures it out somewhere else. That’s out of their control, though. If he gives them the Travis d’Arnaud treatment, he’s going to do it regardless if he’s back in 2021 or not.

The only hope we have of seeing Matz return to the club in 2021 is if they have faith he can pitch well as a reliever. He hasn’t shown it and I’m not confident he can make the transition in such a short period of time.

3 Yankees free agents for the Mets to consider. Next

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Given the choice between Matz in relief and a $5 million per year experienced reliever, I’ll take the latter.

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