Mets Free Agents: Predicting who goes and who comes back for 2021

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 10: Justin Wilson #38 and Wilson Ramos #40 of the New York Mets celebrate after defeating the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2 at Citi Field on September 10, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 10: Justin Wilson #38 and Wilson Ramos #40 of the New York Mets celebrate after defeating the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2 at Citi Field on September 10, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
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PORT ST. LUCIE, FL – MARCH 08: Wilson Ramos #40 of the New York Mets in action against the Houston Astros during a spring training baseball game at Clover Park on March 8, 2020 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. The Mets defeated the Astros 3-1. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)
PORT ST. LUCIE, FL – MARCH 08: Wilson Ramos #40 of the New York Mets in action against the Houston Astros during a spring training baseball game at Clover Park on March 8, 2020 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. The Mets defeated the Astros 3-1. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images) /

What does the future hold for this upcoming New York Mets free agents? We make some way too early predictions.

Regardless of what happens with the 2020 MLB season, the New York Mets are going to have a boatload of free agents next winter. From behind the plate, to the mound, to the outfield, and to the IL, there’s a man on an expiring contract getting paid by this team.

Plenty can change between now and next winter. An unexpectedly awesome year from one of these free agents could lead to a change in opinion. Maybe an excellent year even ups the expected salary and he slips away from the club a little easier.

To keep things simple, we’ll only dive into the guys who could have significant time on the big league roster. So if you came here for Erasmo Ramirez content, look elsewhere.

Wilson Ramos

Let’s talk Wilson Ramos. Although he’s not an official free agent at the end of 2020, there is a team option on his contract. After seeing what he did for the club in 2019, I’m prone to believe the Mets pick it up and bring him back for another year.

The Mets could always get adventurous and target someone like J.T. Realmuto in free agency next winter. However, I think he ends up staying in Philadelphia. In case you haven’t noticed, the former clients Van Wagenen has brought in are all well past their prime and not the best at their position like him.

This isn’t a cause for alarm. Ramos’ last year with the Mets will happen in 2021. By that point, he’ll be nearer to the twilight of his career when we begin to see an obvious decline.

Ramos will have a job in baseball after leaving the Mets, but it may be as a part-timer with a left-handed hitting catcher taking on a large number of starts. As far as the orange and blue should be concerned, they only need to worry about what he can give them in 2020 and 2021.

I believe the Buffalo has something left to offer and the Mets realize it, too.

NEW YORK, NY – JULY 23: Yoenis Cespedes #52 of the New York Mets watches from the dugout before an MLB baseball game against the San Diego Padres on July 23, 2018 at Citi Field in the Queens borough of New York City. Padres won 3-2. (Photo by Paul Bereswill/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY – JULY 23: Yoenis Cespedes #52 of the New York Mets watches from the dugout before an MLB baseball game against the San Diego Padres on July 23, 2018 at Citi Field in the Queens borough of New York City. Padres won 3-2. (Photo by Paul Bereswill/Getty Images) /

Yoenis Cespedes

Ask 100 Mets fans what they want his future to be with the club and I think a good portion would prefer to thank him for his time and offer to send an Uber his way. It has been frustrating to watch Yoenis Cespedes sit on the sidelines for most of his time with the club after 2016.

Even some miraculous year in 2020 wouldn’t sway too many opinions. Could it convince the front office differently?

Because Cespedes did have his contract restricted due to the infamous bore situation, I don’t think there’s much love left between the two parties. Cespedes probably understands he made a mistake, but I don’t think it’ll lead to him have much desire to return in 2021.

Fortunately for this relationship, I can’t imagine how it would be possible.

Cespedes would be a free agent at 35 with years of injuries built up. His negative locker room reputation wouldn’t help matters much either.

Not even a DH in the National League should lead to a reunion between Cespedes and the Mets. If that were to happen, the team would be far wiser to move Pete Alonso there and hold onto Dominic Smith.

For me, Cespedes is a goner. For many, I think this is good news. Maybe we see him again in interleague play.

Jed Lowrie

Jed Lowrie’s fate with the Mets has been sealed for some time. Beyond a small number of pinch-hitting appearances in late 2019, he has never actually played for the club.

There’s little to debate about Lowrie and his standing with the franchise. Unlike Cespedes, he never had the chance to make some memorable moments. There’s no attachment to this guy other than the fact that he is a former client of the general manager.

While a veteran infielder like Lowrie could be valuable to many teams, the Mets just don’t need him. Amazingly, they never really did.

I won’t waste your time any further on Lowrie. I predict his career is over after 2020. If not officially, he soon finds out when he does get some playing time on a Triple-A ball club in 2021.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 27: Marcus Stroman #7 of the New York Mets delivers a pitch in the first inning of their game against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on September 27, 2019 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 27: Marcus Stroman #7 of the New York Mets delivers a pitch in the first inning of their game against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on September 27, 2019 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images) /

Marcus Stroman

Maybe the free agent fans want to return most, Marcus Stroman is a different kind of starting pitcher than we’re used to seeing on this club acquired via trade. Many of the recent stars in the rotation have been homegrown. Not Stroman.

After the loss of Zack Wheeler in free agency and uncertainty with Noah Syndergaard’s future, it makes a lot more sense for the Mets to extend or re-sign Stroman. He’s about as ideal of a number two starter as the club could use.

In his best seasons, Stroman may even look more like a number one.

Unfortunately, all of these good things I have to say about Stroman will lead him out of town. Well, maybe not out of town. Just away from Flushing.

As one of the best free agent pitchers available next winter, there will be plenty of phone calls his agents’ way. Bidding for Stroman will go high. Unless the Mets are willing to go to a level they rarely do, he’ll play baseball in 2021 wearing another team’s uniform.

Sadly, I don’t see him wearing orange and blue beyond 2020.

Justin Wilson

Older than Betances by a year, Justin Wilson would have to settle on a team-friendly deal for any shot at staying with the Mets in 2021. I really appreciated what he did for the club in 2019. The southpaw gave them a 2.54 ERA across 45 games and plenty of promise for a successful year two.

Despite age not being on his side, I have a hard time believing Wilson can parlay any performance in 2020 into more than the $5 million per year he signed up for when he first joined the Mets. In fact, because of his age, we could see him on a bigger discount.

Every team needs a lefty reliever. The Mets don’t have any answers in that spot of the bullpen once Wilson is removed.

An important consideration I take with any prediction involving the future of the Mets is how Van Wagenen behaves. He likes “his guys” to do well. Wilson, while not a former client of BVW’s, is someone the general manager signed.

A longer relationship between Wilson and the blue and orange squad feels like a real possibility even if it lasts just another year with the option for 2022. I do expect Wilson to test free agency. It’s up to the Mets to make him the highest offer they can.

PORT ST. LUCIE, FL – MARCH 11: Dellin Betances #68 of the New York Mets in action during a spring training baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals at Clover Park at on March 11, 2020 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. The Mets defeated the Cardinals 7-3. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)
PORT ST. LUCIE, FL – MARCH 11: Dellin Betances #68 of the New York Mets in action during a spring training baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals at Clover Park at on March 11, 2020 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. The Mets defeated the Cardinals 7-3. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images) /

Dellin Betances

Dellin Betances is a real wild card in this discussion. The star reliever missed nearly all of 2019 due to injury. Before baseball shut down in spring training, it looked like he would start the year on the IL.

Health will play a big part in whether or not the Mets have any interest in bringing back Betances. My crystal ball is out of batteries so I can’t tell you or anyone else what the future holds in that department.

What we can all agree on is that if the 2020 season is riddled with injuries for Betances, he’s not coming back. If he’s fully healthy, I also don’t see him returning whether he’s productive or not.

It’s a big investment to make in an older relief pitcher. Already at 32-years-old, his next contract could potentially be the last he gets.

One scenario where I do see Betances coming back to the Mets in 2021 is if there is no 2020 season at all. Born in New York, I think he has a connection to the Big Apple and a preference to stay in the city. The Mets could potentially get a redo.

It’s not out of the question to see Betances stay. If I had to guess, the Mets try to find whoever next winter’s version of him is.

Rick Porcello

Rick Porcello is an interesting case to examine. He has already made his money from the Boston Red Sox and even took home a Cy Young and championship during his time in Beantown. What more does the man need?

Porcello’s future will depend a lot on how his 2020 season goes. Teams know he’s talented. They also understand he has a lot of innings on his arm. The fluctuation between his good to average to bad years is so extreme at times nobody really ever knows what to expect from him on the mound.

For the Mets, a longer deal with Porcello feels possible but unlikely. I feel more like the Mets brought him to town for 2020 because they didn’t want to commit to anyone longer. Between the price and years on his contract, it felt like a safe bet on a rebound campaign.

We will never know what Porcello could do in a full 2020 season. I expect the club will have some competition to bring him in for the 2021 campaign. As we’ve seen too often, the Mets often lose out when someone else is bidding.

Michael Wacha

Until recently, I thought Michael Wacha was another one-and-done candidate for this ball club. I’m rethinking things after reading what Allen Settle had to say about him.

Wacha is younger than I think most of us realize. He turns 29 on July 1, putting him on the right side of 30 for any free agent.

The fact that Wacha is a former BVW client bodes really well for his future in New York. It also helps that he’ll definitely start for the club in 2020 with Noah Syndergaard sidelined. Any chance of the relationship getting damaged because he “came here to start” is now in the rearview mirror.

If I was a betting man, I would expect Wacha to return in 2021. The only thing to stop this from happening is a dreadful season. More likely, he has an average to good one and it ends up keeping him in New York for at least one more year.

For Wacha, it may work out better. He needs a chance to rebuild his stock. At his age, he can afford another lesser deal.

PORT ST. LUCIE, FL – MARCH 08: Jake Marisnick #16 of the New York Mets in action against the Houston Astros during a spring training baseball game at Clover Park on March 8, 2020 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. The Mets defeated the Astros 3-1. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)
PORT ST. LUCIE, FL – MARCH 08: Jake Marisnick #16 of the New York Mets in action against the Houston Astros during a spring training baseball game at Clover Park on March 8, 2020 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. The Mets defeated the Astros 3-1. (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images) /

Jake Marisnick

There is very little reason for the Mets to retain Jake Marisnick beyond 2020. He was a mercenary brought in to provide the club with some depth and defense in the outfield, specifically up the middle in center.

With another free agent class to access and potential trades or free agent signings to make, I would prefer the Mets do the wise thing and legitimately upgrade the starting position in center field. It’s not always easy to do. Center fielders aren’t always as well-rounded as we would like. When they are, teams tend to hold onto them for a lifetime.

The only factor that could lead the Mets to rethink their position on Marisnick is the fact that they traded away prospects to get him. Whether or not those minor leaguers accomplish anything doesn’t matter. The fact is, the Mets gave up some youngsters to get him. There’s no winning this trade unless Marisnick succeeds in New York.

Rather than return to Flushing for 2021, I think Marisnick gets a platoon gig in another city.

Matt Adams and Eduardo Nunez

In our honorable mention category, we need to mention Matt Adams and Eduardo Nunez. Both were expected to compete for a roster spot this spring. Only one of them was likely to make it.

It’s difficult to predict where a veteran player on a minor leaguer may end up in the future. An explosive season from either could land them a longer deal with the ball club they play for. A more forgettable one usually leads to a change of scenery.

For these two, I don’t think it really matters. Adams is blocked at first base by Pete Alonso and Dominic Smith for regular playing time. Nunez fits in a little more for the Mets, but he’s also already 32. Rather than re-up him, I would prefer to see what a guy like Luis Guillorme can do on a regular basis as the primary infield utility player.

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