Mets: Weighing the pros and cons of an early Pete Alonso contract extension
We weigh the pros and cons of the New York Mets signing Pete Alonso to an early contract extension.
The early extension is becoming more popular in Major League Baseball. Unless of course, you’re talking about the New York Mets. Only on rare occasions will you find this organization signing a player earlier than they have to. In the case of slugger Pete Alonso, they may have enough reasons to ponder the pros and cons of a deal like that.
Alonso did a lot of great things for the Mets in 2019 both on and off the field. His 53 home runs set a new standard for Mets and rookies in general. His leadership put him in a position to potentially become the next captain of the franchise.
No matter what he does, Alonso seems to do it right. An extension, while still possibly a few years too early, feels very possible at some point for the Polar Bear.
As with anything, there are pros and cons to any decision. What are they when it comes to an early long-term relationship locked in with Alonso?
Pros of extending Pete Alonso early
When talking about baseball contracts, the best deals are the ones the team and player benefit from. Extensions can help out both parties really well. Alonso gets some money early and the Mets potentially get him for cheaper than he’s actually worth down the line. That is, of course, if he continues to play well.
Alonso won’t reach free agency until after the 2024 season. It’s a long time in the future. By then, Alex Rodriguez may be sick of owning the team or maybe we’re discussing his Hall of Fame candidacy as an owner.
The biggest benefit of an early extension with Alonso is that the Mets can sign him up for a few more years. Alonso is set to become a free agent ahead of his age 30 season which is about par for the course. He’ll easily have an opportunity to give them two or three dominant years even into his early 30s before the inevitable decline occurs.
Sluggers like Alonso can age poorly just as much as they can remain steady well into their 30s. Alonso showed no fragility in his rookie season, playing in 161 games for the Mets. Time will tell if he can continue to stay as healthy in the future.
Awarding Alonso with an early extension would say a lot about the Mets. It’s a change of pace the fans are hoping to see. It also puts faith in one of its young stars—something the front office took too long to do with Jacob deGrom before he finally got his extension.
A long-term deal with Alonso, which would buy out at least a year or two of his future free agency, may not be the best financial decision. However, for the sake of precedence-setting, it’s a smart move.
Cons of extending Pete Alonso early
What could possibly go wrong with an extension? I’ll give you three names: Juan Lagares, Jon Niese, and David Wright.
To varying degrees, those three extensions all backfired on the Mets. Lagares and Niese never lived up to expectations. For Wright, it was the injury bug that bit him.
The difference with Alonso is that he’s young and has already had an amazing year. Lagares and Niese looked like fine players with a solid future. Alonso has his remarkable season. If anything, he already earned some consideration for an extension.
Wright’s extension was also anything but premature. He was already an established veteran who had the unfortunate luck of suffering too many injuries later in his career. It’s a risk every team takes whenever they sign a player.
Financially, extending Alonso early could also prevent the club from doing some more urgent moves. Michael Conforto, Marcus Stroman, and Noah Syndergaard are ahead of him on the list of players ready to reach free agency. Skipping them to reward Alonso with an extension may limit what they can do with those three.
What’s more, these men are all human. They know it’s a business, but a bad relationship could always develop as a result.
Alonso deserves all of the praise in the world for what he has done in his short time as a major leaguer. He has single-handedly helped reshape the culture around the team.
It took only one season for the Mets to become a lovable squad with a contagious appetite for winning and having fun.
The big question to answer now is what the Mets should actually do.
What should the Mets do?
We all think we know what’s best for the Mets. From answering who should bat leadoff to which pitcher should face the toughest lefty in the other team’s lineup when there is no southpaw left in our bullpen, we always think we know the answer.
I believe it’s a little tougher to know what to do when money is involved. From a hands-off look at things, of course the Mets should extend Alonso. It’s not my money. There’s no salary cap in baseball either.
We cannot look at things that way. We know better—whether it’s a Wilpon signing the checks or somebody else.
Taking this into account with the pros and cons weighed, there’s obviously no rush to sign Alonso to an early extension. Although we see other teams locking up their young stars early, we have to realize all situations are different.
Weighing heaviest for the Mets is that there are others the club has to look at before Alonso. As much as I would love to know Alonso is in blue and orange by the time I’m almost 40, it’s by far not the most pressing need.
The Mets need to continue building around Alonso and reward him well during his early rookie contract and arbitration years. They did the right thing already, giving him a record $652,000 deal for his second season in 2020. Whether or not he’ll get the full thing doesn’t matter. He’s already well ahead of the curve and should get rewarded for at least a few more seasons.
I do expect Alonso to eventually get his extension. However, it won’t happen until sometime after the 2021 season when his arbitration seasons begin and the club has already made their decision on Conforto and Syndergaard.
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By then, we should also know better what Alonso is worth. My guess is it’ll be every penny he gets paid and maybe even more.