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New York Mets: Three Rick Porcello predictions for 2020

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - AUGUST 21: Starting pitches Rick Porcello #22 of the Boston Red Sox throws to a Philadelphia Phillies batter during the first inning at Fenway Park on August 21, 2019 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - AUGUST 21: Starting pitches Rick Porcello #22 of the Boston Red Sox throws to a Philadelphia Phillies batter during the first inning at Fenway Park on August 21, 2019 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
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PHOENIX, ARIZONA – APRIL 05: Starting pitcher Rick Porcello #22 of the Boston Red Sox pitches against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the MLB game at Chase Field on April 05, 2019 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Double-Digit Wins

There’s only one season in Porcello’s career that didn’t end with double-digit wins. It’s a safe bet to predict he’ll do so again in 2020 considering the Mets should be a competitive team once again.

Porcello’s lone single-digit victory season came in 2015 when he still managed to win 9 games. Even in his weaker seasons, he has found a way to find 10 wins. Last year, despite having a 5.52 ERA, Porcello won 14 games. He can thank the Red Sox bats for helping him out. In 2020, I think we can say the same thing but about Pete Alonso and the rest of the boys on the Mets.

Winning has been a consistent part of Porcello’s time in the big leagues. He’s 149-118 which gives him a lifetime percentage of .558. One reason for this is how he has often found himself third, fourth, or even fifth in a rotation. While this doesn’t line up perfectly with other team’s back-of-the-rotation starters, it does account for a number of starts each year.

Based on his numbers, I do believe Porcello is the kind of competitor who will routinely pitch well enough to always keep his team in the game. If he’s on a team with a high octane offense, he may suffer in the ERA department. On a lesser offense-inclined organization, he may step up his game.

Wins for a starting pitcher don’t matter, but they also sort of do. Porcello has done plenty of winning in his career. I fully expect him to bring this with him to the 2020 Mets.

Next. Three Michael Conforto predictions for 2020

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