New York Mets: Three David Peterson predictions for 2020

PORT ST. LUCIE, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 21: David Peterson #77 of the New York Mets poses for a photo on Photo Day at First Data Field on February 21, 2019 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
PORT ST. LUCIE, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 21: David Peterson #77 of the New York Mets poses for a photo on Photo Day at First Data Field on February 21, 2019 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
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PORT ST. LUCIE, FLORIDA – FEBRUARY 21: David Peterson #77 of the New York Mets poses for a photo on Photo Day at First Data Field on February 21, 2019 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images)
PORT ST. LUCIE, FLORIDA – FEBRUARY 21: David Peterson #77 of the New York Mets poses for a photo on Photo Day at First Data Field on February 21, 2019 in Port St. Lucie, Florida. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) /

David Peterson is regarded as one of the best pitching prospects the New York Mets have. What can we expect from him in 2020?

When the New York Mets selected University of Oregon left-handed pitcher David Peterson with their first-round pick in 2017, the selection was treated as more of a “meh” than anything else. Peterson, while he did have a solid career with the Ducks, did not have the ace ceiling of Jacob deGrom or Noah Syndergaard, nor did he have any truly “Wow” level stuff. In fact, the Peterson selection seemed to hearken back to the old days of Mets drafting when Omar Minaya opted to take high floor college players.

Peterson concluded his third professional season – and second full season pitching to a 3-6 record and a 4.12 ERA at AA Binghamton. While those numbers weren’t spectacular, they showed that Peterson could be a decent back end pitcher for a rotation likely in need of fresh blood when free agency hits in the next couple years.

What can we expect from the Mets’ second-best pitching prospect? Could this be the year he makes his major league debut? Let’s take a look.

Peterson will get to know Syracuse real well

The Mets obviously are banking on a second straight full season of good health from their starting pitchers. Otherwise, they may have to trot out the likes of Walker Lockett and Corey Oswalt again.

One person Mets fans can definitely expect to not contribute earlier than expected is Peterson.

Unlike last year, when Pete Alonso made a compelling case throughout 2018 and spring training 2019 to be the Opening Day first baseman, the Mets have enough depth in the rotation with Michael Wacha, Rick Porcello and Steven Matz complementing the team’s big three.

With that being the case, Peterson shouldn’t expect to sniff a big-league call-up until rosters expand to 28 in September or 2021. Should Peterson impress in the final level before the big leagues, expect Luis Rojas to have a tough decision on how and when to utilize him.

NEW YORK – APRIL 05: Fans outside the stadium prior to the Opening Day Game between the New York Mets and the Florida Marlins at Citi Field on April 5, 2010 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
NEW YORK – APRIL 05: Fans outside the stadium prior to the Opening Day Game between the New York Mets and the Florida Marlins at Citi Field on April 5, 2010 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images) /

The Mets aren’t trading Peterson

Two of the most notable trades in the still infantile Brodie Van Wagenen era resulted in the Mets trading away their first-round picks in the 2016 and 2018 drafts for a combination of Edwin Diaz, Marcus Stroman, and Robinson Cano.

With Jarred Kelenic blossoming into a potential transcendent superstar in the Mariners organization, Justin Dunn looking like a future piece of the Mariners pitching staff, and Anthony Kay and Simeon Woods-Richardson looking like long term pieces in Toronto’s pitching staff, Brodie has shown remarkable restraint this offseason to not make a similar franchise-altering trade that may cost the team its top 2017 draft pick in Peterson.

While there was never an official trade package listed when the Mets engaged the Pittsburgh Pirates for former centerfielder Starling Marte, since acquired by the Arizona Diamondbacks, Peterson’s name was frequently listed as a possible piece in a deal.

Peterson may not be at the same level as fellow 2017 first-round lefties MacKenzie Gore (Padres), Brendan McKay (Rays), and DL Hall (Orioles), but he still should be viewed as a vital piece in the team’s future plans.

A left-handed pitcher with a deceptive motion, while not uncommon is still a valuable asset to have in the Mets rotation, and with Peterson the healthiest advanced level pitching prospect, he should be viewed as the type of innings eating back end rotation pitcher the Mets need to compete every fifth day.

WASHINGTON, DC – SEPTEMBER 02: New York Mets fans cheer in the sixth inning of the game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on September 2, 2019 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC – SEPTEMBER 02: New York Mets fans cheer in the sixth inning of the game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on September 2, 2019 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) /

A pair of 10-15 strikeout games

Peterson was lauded in college for his command of the strike zone, and it was a 20 strikeout game against Arizona State against a lineup that included 2019 San Francisco Giants’ first-round pick Hunter Bishop that cemented his status as a first-round talent. While Peterson isn’t likely to replicate his 20 strikeout game in AAA, it isn’t out of the realm of possibility that Peterson could twirl a ten or more strikeout performance.

Peterson has two ten strikeout performances in his professional career, the first against the Augusta Greenjackets in 2018 and the second against the Harford Yard goats in his final start in 2019. Peterson could make it a third consecutive season with a ten plus strikeout game against an even keel International League opponent.

Peterson’s low to mid 90’s velocity and an assortment of above-average to solid secondary pitches almost guarantees that he’ll spend the 2020 season racking up high strikeout totals, whether or not he can compile a double-digit performance or two is entirely dependent on how dominant his stuff can be.

As previously mentioned, Peterson playing in the more neutral International League as opposed to the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League increases his chances of composing a double-digit strikeout masterpiece.

While he may not be able to replicate what he did against Arizona State, Mets fans can believe he is capable of punching out 15 batters, especially if his stuff is on target and a good framing catcher like Ali Sanchez or Tomas Nido is behind the plate.

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