Mets Fans Know Best: How many home runs will Pete Alonso hit in 2019?

New York Mets fans know best so we asked them how many home runs Pete Alonso will hit in 2019.

Rookie Pete Alonso has a ton of power in his bat. Launching moonshots is a major part of his game. The potential to break New York Mets home run records is present in his power stroke.

Fans are excited to see his plate appearances because they never know where in the bleachers the ball may land. He’s the power-hitting, sweet-stroking, bomb-blasting first baseman this franchise hasn’t had for a really long time. Mets fans know him better than anyone else, so, we wanted to know how many home runs they believe he’ll smash in 2019.

As we always do with our Mets Fans Know Best Undercover Investigations, we found our answer via Twitter poll.

To my surprise, the majority of fans live in a reality world where Alonso doesn’t even come close to setting a new franchise record. I suppose it’s understandable. You want to leave room for improvement.

There are just as many Mets fans who expect Alonso to fail with less than 20 dingers in his rookie campaign as there are those who predict a record-setting amount with 40 or more. The franchise record of 41 is something he could aim for in the future. A strong 90% of Mets-fan voters in this poll think Carlos Beltran and Todd Hundley’s record is safe for now.

Two-thirds of the voters believe Alonso will hit between 20 and 29 home runs with a still try showing of 23% saying he’ll knock between 30 and 39. The 20-29 range is completely reasonable and indeed a safe bet to make.

Alonso has hit very well in his short time in the big leagues thus far. Home runs are going to come. It’s only a matter of how often they will occur we aren’t all so sure about.

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The more protection Alonso receives in the lineup, the more dongs he should smash. Personally, I think he’ll end up somewhere in the high 20s because he won’t get enough plate appearances. I like what I’ve seen from Dominic Smith this year (spring included) and believe we’ll see him get regular enough starts at first base thus eliminating a few more opportunities for Alonso to go yard.