Mets: Brandon Nimmo best and worst case scenarios for 2019
Worst Case Scenario
Despite a season of such highs, there were a few lows for Nimmo as well. The final few months of the season were a bit worrisome for him.
For the entire month of July in 2018, Nimmo barely batted above the Mendoza Line, hitting .205 over that stretch, although is OBP for July was .359 so he still managed to walk despite not hitting very well. While he did rebound in August, hitting .349 for the month, he missed about half of the month due to injury.
Similar to July, Nimmo struggled to get consistent hits in September, batting well under his season average with .237 during the final month of 2018, but surprisingly, his OBP was .468, which his highest total for any month in 2018.
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In summary, over the final months of the season, Nimmo’s batting average dropped pretty sharply, and while I’m not overly concerned, it should be something to watch out for next season.
It’s also worth pointing out that while the expectation for Nimmo is to be the leadoff man next season, Amed Rosario batted at the top off the order toward the end of last year in favor of Nimmo, partly due to these struggles.
This could be as simple as Nimmo be fatigued toward the end of the year as he played more games, or it could be that since it was his first full season and other teams became accustomed to seeing him in the lineup every day, scouts became more aware of his tendencies and learned how to pitch to him.
If that is what happened and Nimmo fails to adjust and improve his hitting, his average may remain lower and he falls down to a lower spot in the lineup, or may even be displaced to the bench once Yoenis Cespedes returns mid-season or if the Mets make a trade for another outfielder.
Personally, I’m a fan of Nimmo and given his track record, as well as his proven ability to consistently get on base and draw walks, I don’t believe this scenario is too likely. Even when he is having stretches where he is hitting poorly, he still consistently gets on base and was one of the few Mets to do that regularly last season.
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As long as he stays healthy, then I expect him to have a role on this team next season.