Jacob deGrom is on a Hall of Fame path – Zach Diamond
This season, we learned that Jacob deGrom is genuinely on the path to the Hall of Fame. deGrom made his debut in 2014, and since then has been one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. Since 2014, deGrom has a 2.62 ERA, second for all starters, only behind eventual HOFer Clayton Kershaw. deGrom is tied in 2nd with Chris Sale in FIP, which supports deGrom’s ERA.
deGrom has had one of the most dominant two year stretches in baseball history during 2018 and 2019. deGrom is 1st in pitching fWAR during these two seasons. His two-year dominance rivals Pedro Martinez, Greg Maddux, and Randy Johnson’s two-year peak.
In 2018, deGrom led the majors with an ERA of 1.70. His FIP of 1.99 was lowest in all of baseball. From 2018 into 2019, deGrom had 26 consecutive quality starts, which tied HOFer Bob Gibson’s quality start streak record. deGrom has given up 0.62 HR/9 the last two seasons, the lowest in all of baseball. In 2019, deGrom led the National League in strikeouts with 255 and was second to Scherzer with a K% of 32%. Since 2014, deGrom has the 6th most strikeouts in all of baseball, being only two strikeouts behind Kershaw for the 5th spot.
After winning his first Cy Young Award last season, deGrom is the frontrunner for the award again this season. Only 19 pitchers have ever won multiple Cy Young Awards, and 13 of those pitchers are in or will be in the Hall of Fame (not including 7-time winner Roger Clemens).
Since 2014, deGrom is 4th in fWAR for pitchers, accumulating 31.5 fWAR over 6 seasons. Only Max Scherzer, Kershaw, and Sale have had higher fWAR. Looking at all the numbers, deGrom’s name is constantly surrounded by future HOFers.
If a player statistically performs as well as future HOFers, that player is probably going to be one themselves. The only thing standing in deGrom’s way is time, as he is 31 right now after entering the majors late at 26 years old.
According to Fangraphs.com, “the average seven-year peak for starting pitchers is 49.9 bWAR, and deGrom is at 34.9 despite only pitching in the majors for six seasons.” deGrom will have to remain elite into his mid to late 30s in order to make up for lost time to make the Hall of Fame.
Even if Jacob deGrom doesn’t make the Hall of Fame, Ben Clemons of Fangraphs said it best: “When you think of modern pitching legends, Jacob deGrom belongs.”