The con of the Mets signing Keuchel is the Mets potentially overpaying for a player who could enter a decline.
There’s certainly a lot to like about Keuchel, as the ground ball pitcher would almost fit well in a ballpark like Citi field. But you also can’t ignore that Keuchel has not put up the same numbers that he posted in 2015 his Cy Young season. In 2015 Keuchel struck out 216 batters and the closest he came to that total again was last season when he had 153 strikeouts.
We mentioned in 2016 that Keuchel’s ERA swelled to 4.55 and he also gave up 168 hits in 168 innings. Last year, Jake Arrieta had a similar problem to Keuchel in terms of not starting 2018 right away with a team before eventually signing with Philadelphia. Arrieta got off to a slow start before finishing with decent numbers by Arrieta’s standard. It’s hard to compare different pitchers together, but hypothetically Keuchel could suffer from the same lag Arrieta did with so much time passing in between facing quality live hitters.
Another con for the Mets if they were to sign Keuchel is they are not able to land him on their terms. If the Mets give in to Keuchels demands and give him 3-4 years you have to wonder how it will impact the Mets moving forward.
Zack Wheeler is a free agent at the end of the season, and despite Wheeler being up and down through his Mets tenure, signs are pointing to Wheeler finally putting things together. Wheeler will certainly have suitors and the Mets hope to be the favorites to bring him back. But can the Mets do that if they have Keuchel on a similar contract making possibly over 10 million dollars a year?
Signing Keuchel to a contract longer than a year could potentially tie up the hands of the Mets when it comes to future moves since we know the Wilpons happen to be tight spenders.
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With many reasons why Keuchel would be a good and bad fit for the Mets, as fans we’ll have to wait and see if these rumors intensify as the month of April continues to roll along.