Worst Case Scenario
Other than injuries, the worst case scenario for Cano is obviously another suspension. I’m doubtful he’ll get caught making the same mistake again. Jenrry Mejia is the only one foolish enough to do that.
Aside from this, the worst case scenario for Cano may involve his body finally breaking down. He has been an ironman through much of his career. Father time could catch up with him any time now. All of the wear and tear on his body will eventually lead to a lengthy disabled list stint, right?
I don’t believe this will happen quite yet with Cano. He had plenty of time to rest last year. He should be fresher than ever.
Statistically speaking, we could see Cano lose more power. He hasn’t been racking up the same number of extra base hits over the past two seasons. A move to the American League, and Citi Field specifically, should do damage to his offensive numbers.
Cano is in no danger of losing playing time. At his salary, the Mets aren’t about to bench him for anyone else. He will play through slumps regardless of how long they last.
Maybe the most hurtful thing Cano could do is lose his ability to hit for a high batting average. The Mets struggled mightily in this department last season. To add another guy who hits below .250 would be detrimental to the organization’s success.
The main reason the Mets got Cano was because at his best he gives them something they didn’t have much of. This is a roster full of guys hitting below .260. Cano gives them someone they could expect a .300 batting average from.
If he really gets hurt by Citi Field and we see him hitting below .275 in his first year, we’ll have to question this deal immediately. He doesn’t need to be an All-Star or earn MVP nods. Cano just has to put the ball in play regularly and get more hits than anyone else on the team. I don’t believe he’s fully cooked yet. Two more good years from him is all I’m asking for.
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What do you expect from Cano’s first year with the Mets?