New York Mets News

Mets: Best and worst case scenarios for Jason Vargas in 2019

LOS ANGELES, CA - SEPTEMBER 04: Jason Vargas #40 of the New York Mets reacts after a solo homerun to David Freese #25 of the Los Angeles Dodgers during the fourth inning at Dodger Stadium on September 4, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
LOS ANGELES, CA - SEPTEMBER 04: Jason Vargas #40 of the New York Mets reacts after a solo homerun to David Freese #25 of the Los Angeles Dodgers during the fourth inning at Dodger Stadium on September 4, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /
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Worst Case Scenario

The worst case scenario with Vargas is an ugly one. It includes a repeat of his 2018 first-half performance which continues throughout the year. Vargas never finds his groove and instead of wondering if he deserves his spot in the rotation, we debate if the Mets should simply release him.

At his salary, it’s impossible to trade Vargas. It’s also unlikely we see him get designated for assignment. This isn’t an organization that enjoys eating dead money. In a worst-case scenario, he rides the year out in the bullpen as a mop-up man.

Sadly, this also means the Mets need to find someone to fill the fifth spot. There’s no clear choice for this role. Likely, a mix of unprepared rookies and sophomores like Corey Oswalt and Drew Gagnon get the starts.

Vargas is coming off the lowest of lows in 2018. Another year in the twilight in his career, we can only expect him to continue to decline.

Unlike many others who struggle, the worst case for Vargas doesn’t include missing the year. In fact, this may actually end up as the better scenario. For as poorly as Oswalt, Gagnon, and others performed, opening the door for someone else may pay off bigger.

If I had to choose between the best and worst case scenario, I still do believe the best case is more likely. Vargas can’t possibly be as horrific again in 2019, can he?

Vargas is a streaky pitcher. An ERA over 5.00 is something we may need to accept. I think it could happen, but we may see his horrendous starts spread out a little more evenly.

Next. Best and worst case scenarios for Michael Conforto

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How do you expect Vargas to perform in 2019?

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