Scott Boras is going to ask for a five- or six-year deal, and the Mets are not going to touch that. I’m led to believe the Mets likely won’t go beyond what they were willing for Michael Bourn. And that’s four years.
Later in the chat, Rubin addressed the subject of Choo again:
They’re not going beyond three or four years on Choo, I firmly believe, so I don’t know how fruitful their pursuit of him will be anyway.
If Rubin’s source is being honest and is accurate, and the Mets don’t plan to guarantee more than four years for Choo, one would have to believe that the chances of the Mets landing him are minimal.
There’s always the possibility that the Mets could offer Choo a four year deal with a fifth year option. However, considering the lack of quality free agents out there and how valuable Choo is (offensively speaking), it’s highly likely that there’s a team out there willing to guarantee a fifth year in order to land him.
Choo is an interesting case. The Mets are in need of starting outfielders and offensive punch – and Choo would fill both of those needs.
Choo’s defense, though, is a negative. Regardless of what his agent Scott Boras says, Choo is a poor defender. He’s been rated as one of the worst outfielders in all of baseball over the last few seasons. What the Mets would be getting on offense, they’d be giving up on defense.
Back to the offense…
With a career average of .288 and a career OBP of .389 (to go along with roughly 20 homers and 4o doubles per year), Choo would be a tremendous fit for the Mets in the leadoff spot. What needs to be pointed out, is that he’ll turn 32 next July and is close to anemic against left handed pitching. The team that signs Choo won’t be paying for what he’ll be over the next handful of years, they’ll be paying for the years where he’s already excelled.
I don’t believe that Choo will fall off the map in one fell swoop. However, as players get older, their skills erode. Choo has already exited his prime. Guaranteeing Choo four years is a risk, but it’s a smaller risk than handing him five or six years guaranteed.
We’ll have to wait and see how this plays out, but the even money is on someone sucking it up and giving Choo the fifth (or sixth) guaranteed year that would end the bidding.